Serie A: Juventus vs Roma match preview, odds and game prediction

Game Preview: Juventus vs Roma

Juventus and Roma face off in a crucial Serie A match at the Allianz Stadium. Juventus have started the season strong, while Roma have struggled to find consistency. This match presents a significant opportunity for Juventus to solidify their standing at the top of the table, while Roma will look to get back on track after a disappointing start.

Key Stats & Insights

  • Head-to-Head: Juventus have dominated recent encounters, with 3 wins, 2 draws, and only 1 loss in their last 6 meetings with Roma.
  • Recent Form:
    • Juventus: Unbeaten in their last 8 home league matches, with a strong defensive record, conceding just 0.7 goals per game in their last 10 matches.
    • Roma: Roma have struggled away from home, failing to win in their last 4 away matches in Serie A.
  • Goals: Juventus have scored an average of 1.6 goals per game in their last 10 league matches, while Roma has averaged 1 goal per game in the same period.

Team Form and Performance

  • Juventus: Juventus have been in excellent form under the management of Thiago Motta, winning their first two matches of the season with a combined score of 6-0. Their defense has been rock-solid, and Dusan Vlahovic has been in fine scoring form, netting twice in their recent 3-0 win against Verona.
  • Roma: Roma, on the other hand, have had a shaky start to the season, collecting just one point from their first two matches. Their 2-1 loss to Empoli highlighted their defensive vulnerabilities, and the team has struggled to convert possession into goals.

Head-to-Head Records

In their last six meetings, Juventus have the upper hand with three wins compared to Roma’s single victory. Their last encounter ended in a 1-1 draw, a result that Roma will likely be eager to improve upon. Juventus has not lost at home to Roma in their last four league meetings, which adds to their confidence heading into this game.

Player Form and Availability

  • Juventus: Dusan Vlahovic is in top form, having scored three goals in his last two appearances. However, Juventus will miss Filip Kostić, Timothy Weah, and Khéphren Thuram due to injuries. Despite these absences, their lineup remains strong.
  • Roma: Roma will be without Enzo Le Fée due to a muscular injury, which could impact their midfield stability. Romelu Lukaku and Paulo Dybala are expected to lead the attack, with Lukaku already on the scoresheet this season.

Predicted Lineups

  • Juventus (4-2-3-1): Michele Di Gregorio; Nicolo Savona, Federico Gatti, Gleison Bremer, Juan Cabal; Nicolo Fagioli, Manuel Locatelli; Andrea Cambiaso, Kenan Yildiz, Samuel Mbangula; Dusan Vlahovic.
  • Roma (4-3-2-1): Mile Svilar; Mehmet Zeki Celik, Gianluca Mancini, Evan N’Dicka, Angelino; Bryan Cristante, Leandro Paredes, Lorenzo Pellegrini; Paulo Dybala, Matias Soule; Artem Dovbyk.

Market Analysis (Odds)

  • Juventus Win: Priced at 1.78, Juventus are favorites to win with a 57% implied probability.
  • Roma Win: Roma are the underdogs with odds of 4.5, reflecting a 20% chance of victory.
  • Over/Under 2.5 Goals: The market is balanced, with odds suggesting a near-equal likelihood for both outcomes.

Predictions

  • Final Score Prediction: Juventus to win 2-1. Juventus are likely to continue their strong start to the season with another home victory, though Roma might be able to breach their defense.
  • Best Bets: Juventus to win at 1.78. Given their form and Roma’s struggles, backing Juventus seems the safest bet.