Game Preview
Inter Milan hosts Atalanta in what promises to be an exciting Serie A clash at the Giuseppe Meazza. Inter Milan is coming off a solid 2-0 victory against Lecce, while Atalanta suffered a 2-1 defeat to Torino. With Inter having a strong head-to-head record against Atalanta, the Nerazzurri will be looking to capitalize on their home advantage.
2. Key Stats & Insights
- Inter Milan: Inter has won each of their last five meetings against Atalanta. They’ve also won 12 of their last 15 home matches in Serie A, highlighting their strong form at Giuseppe Meazza.
- Atalanta: Despite their recent struggles, Atalanta remains a potent attacking force, scoring in each of their last 14 Serie A matches. However, they’ve lost 3 of their last 4 games, indicating vulnerabilities in defense.
3. Team Form and Performance
- Inter Milan: Inter Milan is in good form, having won 5 of their last 10 Serie A matches, drawing 4 and losing just once. They average 2.0 goals per game with 63.8% possession, showcasing their ability to control matches.
- Atalanta: Atalanta has won 7 of their last 10 league games but has shown inconsistency with 2 losses and 1 draw. They average 2.2 goals per game but have struggled defensively, conceding 1.0 goals per game.
4. Head-to-Head Records
Inter Milan has dominated recent encounters against Atalanta, winning all five of their last meetings. Their most recent matchup saw Inter secure a comprehensive 4-0 victory. Historically, Inter has a significant advantage with 30 wins out of 55 matches against Atalanta.
5. Player Form and Availability
- Inter Milan: Lautaro Martinez has recovered from a minor muscle injury and is expected to feature. Marcus Thuram has started the season strongly, scoring two goals in the opening two games. Stefan de Vrij and Tajon Buchanan are unavailable due to injuries.
- Atalanta: Mateo Retegui is in fine form, scoring three goals in the first two rounds. However, Atalanta is dealing with several injuries, including key players like Gianluca Scamacca, Rafael Toloi, and Sead Kolasinac.
6. Predicted Lineup
- Inter Milan (3-5-2): Yann Sommer; Benjamin Pavard, Francesco Acerbi, Alessandro Bastoni; Matteo Darmian, Nicolo Barella, Hakan Calhanoglu, Henrikh Mkhitaryan, Federico Dimarco; Marcus Thuram, Mehdi Taremi.
- Atalanta (3-4-1-2): Marco Carnesecchi; Berat Djimsiti, Isak Hien, Marten de Roon; Davide Zappacosta, Matteo Ruggeri, Ederson, Mario Pasalic; Charles De Ketelaere; Mateo Retegui, Marco Brescianini.
7. Market Analysis (Odds)
- Inter Milan to win: 1.57 (63.7% implied probability)
- Draw: 4.33 (23.1% implied probability)
- Atalanta to win: 5.25 (19% implied probability)
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS Yes): -143 (58.8% implied probability)
Given Inter’s dominance in recent head-to-head encounters and Atalanta’s defensive struggles, the odds favor a home win for Inter Milan. However, Atalanta’s ability to score in every game this season suggests that both teams are likely to find the net.
8. Predictions
- Final Score Prediction: Inter Milan 3-1 Atalanta. Inter’s strong home form and recent dominance over Atalanta point towards a comfortable win, although Atalanta’s attack should still pose a threat.
- Best Bets: Both Teams to Score (BTTS Yes) at -143 is a solid bet given both teams’ scoring records. Additionally, Over 2.5 Goals could also be a good option given the attacking quality on display.