Serie A : Genoa vs Inter Milan match preview, odds and game prediction

1. Game Preview

Genoa will host Inter Milan at the Stadio Luigi Ferraris on August 17, 2024, as Serie A action resumes. Genoa, having recently been promoted back to Serie A, faces a stern test against one of the league’s heavyweights. Inter Milan, under Simone Inzaghi, will be aiming to kick off their campaign with a strong performance, especially as they look to challenge for the Scudetto once again.

2. Key Stats & Insights

  • Genoa’s Return: Genoa has just returned to the top flight after spending a season in Serie B. Their squad has seen some reinforcements, but their primary goal will be survival. Historically, Genoa has struggled against top-tier teams, particularly against Inter.
  • Inter Milan’s Strength: Inter Milan has been a dominant force in Serie A over the past few seasons. They finished third last season and were runners-up in the UEFA Champions League. With a squad boasting stars like Lautaro Martínez and Nicolò Barella, Inter will be expected to secure a win against Genoa .

3. Team Form and Performance

  • Genoa: Genoa’s pre-season form has been mixed, and they will rely heavily on their home advantage to get anything from this match. Their defense will be crucial in this game, as they face one of the most potent attacks in the league.
  • Inter Milan: Inter has had a strong pre-season, building on their successful 2023-24 campaign. With a settled squad and tactical discipline under Inzaghi, they are expected to control the game and create numerous scoring opportunities .

4. Market Analysis (Odds)

  • Inter Milan: Inter is heavily favored, with odds around 1.40 (2/5 in fractional), implying a 71.4% chance of victory.
  • Genoa: The home side is seen as the underdog with odds at 7.50 (13/2 in fractional), reflecting a 13.3% chance of pulling off an upset.
  • Draw: The odds for a draw are approximately 4.33 (10/3 in fractional), indicating a 23.1% chance .

5. Prediction

Given Inter Milan’s superior squad quality and recent form, they are expected to win this match comfortably. Genoa, while strong at home, may struggle to cope with Inter’s attacking prowess. A 2-0 win for Inter Milan seems a likely outcome, as they look to start their season with a commanding performance.