Cagliari and Como face off in what promises to be a competitive Serie A clash. Both teams have had mixed results in their recent outings, with Cagliari managing a solid draw against Roma, while Como suffered a heavy defeat to Juventus. This match will be crucial for both sides as they look to climb up the Serie A table.
Key Stats & Insights
- Cagliari’s Recent Form: In their last 10 league matches, Cagliari has recorded 2 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses. They have struggled offensively, averaging just 1.3 goals per game, while conceding 1.8 goals on average. Their recent form at home has been disappointing, with no wins in their last four home matches.
- Como’s Recent Form: Como has had a better run of form, winning 6 of their last 10 games, with 3 draws and only 1 loss. They have been more productive in front of goal, averaging 1.8 goals per game. However, their defensive frailties are evident, as they have conceded 1.1 goals per match on average.
- Head-to-Head: Cagliari has dominated the head-to-head encounters, winning 3 of the last 6 matches, with the remaining 3 ending in draws. Notably, Como has not won against Cagliari in any of their last 6 meetings.
Team Form and Performance
- Cagliari: Despite a resilient performance against Roma in their last match, Cagliari has struggled to find consistency. They are currently on a poor run at home, failing to secure a win in their last four home league matches. Offensively, they rely heavily on Yerry Mina and Nicolas Viola, who have scored twice each in recent games.
- Como: Como comes into this game off the back of a defeat to Juventus but has otherwise shown strong form, especially on the road. Their key players, Alessandro Gabrielloni and Patrick Cutrone, have been instrumental, scoring four goals each in the last 10 matches.
Head-to-Head Records
- Recent Meetings: The last time these teams met was in Serie B, where Cagliari emerged victorious with a 2-0 win. Historically, Cagliari has had the upper hand in this fixture, winning 3 of the last 6 encounters, while Como has yet to record a victory.
Player Form and Availability
- Cagliari: Key players like Yerry Mina and Nicolas Viola are expected to feature prominently. However, they will be without Nadir Zortea and Giuseppe Ciocci due to shoulder injuries, which could impact their defensive stability.
- Como: Como will miss the services of Daniele Baselli, Raphaël Varane, and Oliver Abildgaard due to injuries. Despite these absences, their attacking duo of Gabrielloni and Cutrone is expected to lead the line and pose a threat to Cagliari’s defense.
Predicted Lineup
- Cagliari (3-5-2): Simone Scuffet; Gabriele Zappa, Mateusz Wieteska, Sebastiano Luperto; Paulo Azzi, Alessandro Deiola, Matteo Prati, Razvan Marin, Tommaso Augello; Zito Luvumbo, Roberto Piccoli.
- Como (4-4-2): Pepe Reina; Alessio Iovine, Edoardo Goldaniga, Federico Barba, Alberto Moreno; Gabriel Strefezza, Matthias Braunoeder, Yannik Engelhardt, Lucas Da Cunha; Patrick Cutrone, Andrea Belotti.
Market Analysis (Odds)
- Cagliari: Cagliari is slightly favored with odds of 2.15, reflecting their historical dominance over Como and home advantage.
- Como: Como is seen as the underdog with odds of 3.30, but their recent form suggests they could pull off a surprise.
- Total Goals: The over/under market is evenly matched, indicating uncertainty in predicting the goal tally for this game.
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): BTTS is priced at -125, suggesting a high probability that both teams will find the net.
Predictions
- Final Score Prediction: A 1-1 draw is a more consistent prediction, which aligns with the suggestion to back Como on the Asian Handicap (+0.25). This outcome would result in a win or at least a partial return on the bet
- Best Bets: Backing Como on the Asian Handicap (+0.25) at odds of +103 provides value, given their decent recent form and Cagliari’s struggles at home. A draw or a narrow win for Como would result in a successful bet.