Game Preview: Atalanta vs Como
Atalanta are set to host newly promoted Como in a Serie A clash at the Gewiss Stadium. With Atalanta aiming for a top-four finish and Como still seeking their first win of the season, this match promises to be one-sided on paper. Atalanta’s attacking form at home has been solid, while Como’s struggles, particularly away from home, paint a challenging picture for the visitors. The betting market reflects Atalanta as strong favorites, but there’s value in exploring both teams’ goal-scoring potentials.
Key Stats & Insights
- Atalanta are unbeaten in 12 of their last 14 home Serie A fixtures, winning 11.
- Como have failed to score in four of their last six away games.
- Over 2.5 goals have been scored in 8 of Atalanta’s last 11 home victories.
- BTTS (Both Teams to Score) has been a common outcome for Atalanta at home, occurring in 6 of their last 10 games.
Team Form and Performance
Atalanta returned to Serie A with a 3-2 win over Fiorentina, after two away defeats. Strong at home, they’re averaging 2.1 goals per game in their last 10 league matches. In contrast, Como are enduring a tough start to their top-flight return, winless in their first four matches and showing a fragile defense.
Head-to-Head Records
Atalanta have dominated this fixture, winning their last five meetings against Como, including a 4-0 friendly win in 2022. The teams last met in Serie A two decades ago, with Atalanta again victorious.
Player Form and Availability
- Atalanta: Mateo Retegui, Ademola Lookman, and Charles De Ketelaere lead the attack, each having scored four goals this season. Injuries to Gianluca Scamacca and Rafael Toloi will keep them sidelined, but the team remains formidable.
- Como: Patrick Cutrone is Como’s main threat, with five goals in his last 10 games. However, the team has struggled defensively, conceding regularly in their last six matches.
Predicted Lineups
- Atalanta (3-4-2-1): Carnesecchi; Hien, De Roon, Kossounou; Bellanova, Zappacosta, Pasalic, Brescianini; De Ketelaere, Lookman; Retegui.
- Como (4-2-3-1): Audero; Moreno, Kempf, Iovine, Perrone; Roberto, Strefezza, Paz, Fadera; Cutrone.
Market Analysis (Odds)
- Atalanta to win: 1.48 (69.2% probability)
- Draw: 4.33 (21.7%)
- Como to win: 6.50 (15.4%)
- BTTS Yes: -125
- Over 2.5 Goals: 1.44
The odds clearly favor Atalanta, but with BTTS Yes offering reasonable value at -125, bettors might also look at that option. Atalanta’s high-scoring form at home also makes Over 2.5 Goals an attractive market.
Check the latest odds at our trusted sportsbooks in India: 10Cric
Predictions
- Correct score prediction: Atalanta 3-1 Como, offering good odds at +900.
- Betting tip: Back Both Teams to Score (BTTS Yes) at -125.
- Value bet: Over 2.5 Goals at 1.44, considering Atalanta’s scoring record at home and Como’s defensive struggles.