Date: August 24, 2024
Venue: Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London
Tottenham hosts Everton in a crucial Premier League match where both teams are seeking to find consistency. Tottenham has been inconsistent, with 3 wins in their last 10 games, struggling particularly in defense. Everton, though slightly better with 5 wins in their last 10 games, has faced challenges, especially in finding the net consistently.
Key Stats & Insights
- Tottenham: Spurs have managed an average of 1.4 goals per game but have struggled defensively, conceding 1.9 goals per match on average. Their attack has been driven by Pedro Porro, who has scored 4 goals in recent games.
- Everton: Everton’s attack has been spearheaded by Dominic Calvert-Lewin, who has netted 4 goals, but their overall scoring average stands at just 1.0 goals per game. Despite this, their defense has been relatively solid, with Jordan Pickford keeping 5 clean sheets in their last 10 matches.
Team Form and Performance
- Tottenham’s Last 10 Games: With a record of 3 wins, 5 losses, and 2 draws, Spurs have had a mixed bag of results. Despite maintaining a significant 64.5% possession rate and taking an average of 14.7 attempts per game, they’ve struggled to convert those chances into consistent victories. Defensively, they have been vulnerable, conceding nearly 2 goals per game.
- Everton’s Last 10 Games: Everton has secured 5 wins in their last 10 matches, alongside 3 losses and 2 draws. They’ve been less dominant in possession, averaging 40.8%, but have shown resilience, especially in tighter games. Dominic Calvert-Lewin has been their key man, and despite their modest goal-scoring record, their defense has kept them competitive.
Head-to-Head Records
- Tottenham has been dominant in recent encounters, winning 3 of the last 5 meetings, with the remaining 2 ending in draws. The last time these teams met, they played out a 2-2 draw at Goodison Park, highlighting the competitive nature of these fixtures.
Player Form and Availability
- Tottenham: Pedro Porro has been a standout performer, leading the team with 4 goals. Tottenham’s squad is expected to be near full strength, though Rodrigo Bentancur might miss out due to a concussion, and there could be late fitness tests for a few players.
- Everton: Dominic Calvert-Lewin remains Everton’s key attacking threat, with 4 goals to his name. However, the Toffees will be without several key players, including Ashley Young due to suspension and others like Nathan Patterson and Seamus Coleman due to injuries.
Market Analysis (Odds)
- Tottenham: Spurs are the favorites with odds at 1.38, giving them a 69% implied probability of winning.
- Everton: The Toffees are underdogs with odds at 7.00, reflecting a 14% chance of victory.
- BTTS (Both Teams to Score): Yes option at 1.66 is a popular bet, considering both teams’ recent scoring and defensive records.
Predictions
Tottenham is expected to secure a narrow 2-1 victory. The match is likely to be competitive, with both teams finding the net. Spurs’ superior attacking quality, especially with Son Heung-Min and Pedro Porro, should see them edge out Everton, who will rely heavily on Calvert-Lewin’s prowess upfront.