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Leicester City returns to the Premier League with a challenging fixture against Tottenham Hotspur at the King Power Stadium on August 19, 2024. Leicester, eager to make a strong impression in their first match back in the top flight, faces a Tottenham side that is looking to solidify its position among the league’s elite under the guidance of Ange Postecoglou.
Key Stats & Insights
- Leicester City: In their last 10 league matches, Leicester has recorded 5 wins, 4 losses, and 1 draw. They have averaged 1.7 goals per game from 11.8 attempts and maintained a solid defensive record, conceding an average of 1.0 goals per game. Jamie Vardy has been their standout performer with 7 goals, although he is ruled out for this match due to injury.
- Tottenham Hotspur: Spurs have managed 4 victories, 5 defeats, and 1 draw in their last 10 league matches. Their attacking output has been slightly lower, with an average of 1.5 goals per game, but they boast significant attacking threats in Heung-Min Son and Dejan Kulusevski. Defensively, they have been vulnerable, conceding 1.9 goals per match.
Team Form and Performance
- Leicester City: Leicester enters this match following a 0-2 loss to Blackburn Rovers, despite dominating possession and creating several opportunities. Historically, Leicester has been strong at home in opening day fixtures, but they face a tough challenge without key attackers like Jamie Vardy.
- Tottenham Hotspur: Spurs are coming off a commanding 3-0 win against Sheffield United, showcasing their dominance in possession and effectiveness in front of goal. Players like Pedro Porro and Kulusevski were particularly impressive in their last outing.
Head-to-Head Records
Leicester’s most recent match against Tottenham ended in a 4-1 victory at the King Power Stadium in February 2023. However, Tottenham has won six of the last nine meetings between these sides. The matches between Leicester and Tottenham have historically been high-scoring, with an average of 5 goals per game in recent encounters.
Player Form and Availability
- Leicester City: The absence of Jamie Vardy and Patson Daka due to injuries will be a significant blow to Leicester’s attacking threat. Abdul Fatawu and Wilfred Ndidi will need to step up if Leicester is to pose a challenge to Spurs.
- Tottenham Hotspur: Heung-Min Son, who has a strong record against Leicester, will be key for Tottenham. James Maddison, returning to his former club, is expected to be influential in Spurs’ midfield.
Market Analysis (Odds)
- Leicester City: 5.25 (17/4) – Implied Probability: 19%
- Draw: 4.33 (10/3) – Implied Probability: 23.1%
- Tottenham Hotspur: 1.67 (4/6) – Implied Probability: 60%
Betting Suggestions
- Leicester +1 on the Asian Handicap (-102): This bet offers value for those who believe Leicester can keep the match close. You win if Leicester draws or wins, and your stake is returned if they lose by a single goal.
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS – Yes) (-163): Given the high-scoring nature of recent matches between these teams, this is a strong option. Both Leicester and Tottenham have vulnerabilities in defense that could see them both finding the back of the net.
- James Maddison to Score or Assist (+120): Maddison, returning to his former club, will be motivated to make an impact. Given his role in set-pieces and his attacking position, this bet offers good value.
Predictions
Taking into account the form, head-to-head record, and betting insights:
- Prediction: Tottenham to win 2-1. While Tottenham is expected to take the victory, Leicester’s home advantage and Spurs’ defensive vulnerabilities suggest a close match with both teams likely scoring.