Betscience

Key Stats & Insights

• England drew 1-1 against Denmark in their second Euro 2024 match.
• England aims to remain unbeaten in the group stage for the fourth consecutive European Championship, having achieved this in 2012, 2016, and 2020.
• Slovenia also drew 1-1 in their last match against Serbia.
• Slovenia has never defeated England in their six encounters across all competitions (D1 L5).

Game Preview

England:

England struggled against Denmark, managing only a 1-1 draw that left fans frustrated and jeering. Gareth Southgate’s cautious approach, scoring first and then defending the lead, backfired against Denmark. Despite Harry Kane’s early goal, England could not maintain their advantage, allowing Denmark to equalize through Morten Hjulmand’s long-range effort. The result left England needing a better performance to secure qualification.

Slovenia:

Slovenia narrowly missed their first European Championship victory, conceding a late equalizer against Serbia. Right-back Zan Karnicnik’s 69th-minute goal had put Slovenia ahead, but Serbia’s stoppage-time goal from a corner left Slovenia with a draw. Slovenia needs a win against England to keep their Euro 2024 hopes alive, though they might lack the firepower to overcome the Three Lions despite Benjamin Sesko’s promising talent.

Team Form and Performance

England – Last 10 Competitive Games:

• Wins: 7
• Draws: 3
• Goals: 2.4 per game
• Shots on Goal: 5.2 per game
• Possession: 60.9%
• Corners: 3.9 per game
• Goals Conceded: 0.5 per game

Top Performers:

• Harry Kane: 9 goals
• Bukayo Saka: 4 goals, 3 assists
• Marcus Rashford: 2 goals
• Jordan Pickford: 5 clean sheets

Slovenia – Last 10 Competitive Games:

• Wins: 5
• Draws: 3
• Losses: 2
• Goals: 1.8 per game
• Shots on Goal: 3.7 per game
• Possession: 49.9%
• Corners: 3.4 per game
• Goals Conceded: 1.0 per game

Top Performers:

• Benjamin Sesko: 4 goals
• Erik Janza and Andraz Sporar: 3 goals each
• Andraz Sporar: 3 assists
• Jan Oblak: 3 clean sheets

Head-to-Head Records

The last meeting between England and Slovenia was during the International WC Qualification, UEFA in October 2017, where England won 1-0. England has historically dominated Slovenia, winning five out of six encounters and scoring four goals to Slovenia’s two in their last three matches. Given the changes in both squads since their last meeting, this match promises some surprises.

Possible Player Form and Availability

England:

• Goalkeeper: Jordan Pickford
• Defenders: Kyle Walker, John Stones, Marc Guehi, Kieran Trippier, Trent Alexander-Arnold
• Midfielders: Declan Rice, Jude Bellingham, Phil Foden
• Forwards: Bukayo Saka, Harry Kane

Slovenia:

• Goalkeeper: Jan Oblak
• Defenders: Zan Karnicnik, Vanja Drkusic, Jaka Bijol, Erik Janza, Petar Stojanovic
• Midfielders: Timi Elsnik, Adam Gnezda Cerin
• Forwards: Jan Mlakar, Andraz Sporar, Benjamin Sesko

Market Analysis (Odds)

England is heavily favored to win with odds of 1.33, implying a 75% chance of victory. Slovenia is a long shot at 11.00. The odds for Over/Under 2.5 Goals are similar, and Both Teams to Score (No) is priced at 1.57. For those looking at a more balanced bet, the Draw No Bet market has England at 1.40 and Slovenia at 2.75.

Predictions

England 2 – Slovenia 1

England’s performance has been underwhelming, but they are expected to edge out Slovenia. Slovenia will likely put up a strong fight but may struggle to match England’s firepower. The prediction is a 2-1 victory for England. Betting on Both Teams to Score (Yes) at odds of 2.25 is a promising option, anticipating goals from both sides.

Game Preview

France

France will look to capitalize on their solid form as they face Poland in their final group stage match. After a goalless draw against the Netherlands, where they had 58% possession, France aims to secure their place in the last 16. Kylian Mbappé’s return is highly anticipated, as his presence adds a significant threat to the French attack. France’s defensive strength is noteworthy, with four consecutive clean sheets and a run of 367 minutes without conceding a goal. The French side is favored with a 73.3% probability of winning this match.

Poland

Poland, on the other hand, is struggling, having lost their opening two group games at Euro 2024. Their recent 3-1 defeat to Austria highlighted their defensive vulnerabilities. Despite a promising start, Poland failed to sustain their performance throughout the match. With their elimination from the tournament looming, Poland will aim to restore some pride in this fixture. Historically, Poland has struggled in final group stage matches, winning only once in their previous four European Championship appearances.

Key Stats & Insights

• France:
  • Recent Form: 8 wins and 2 draws in the last 10 competitive games.
  • Possession: Average of 59.7%.
  • Defensive Record: 4 consecutive clean sheets.
  • Top Scorer: Kylian Mbappé with 9 goals.
• Poland:
  • Recent Form: 4 wins, 4 losses, and 2 draws in the last 10 competitive games.
  • Possession: Average of 58.0%.
  • Defensive Record: Conceded 1.7 goals per game.
  • Top Scorer: Robert Lewandowski with 3 goals.

Team Form and Performance

France – Last 10 Competitive Games:

• Wins: 8
• Draws: 2
• Goals Scored: 3.0 per game
• Possession: 59.7%
• Top Performers: Kylian Mbappé (9 goals), Olivier Giroud (3 goals)

Poland – Last 10 Competitive Games:

• Wins: 4
• Draws: 2
• Losses: 4
• Goals Scored: 2.0 per game
• Possession: 58.0%
• Top Performers: Robert Lewandowski (3 goals), Piotr Zielinski (3 assists)

Head-to-Head Records

France and Poland last met on December 4, 2022, with France winning 3-1. Historically, France has had the upper hand, winning two out of the last three encounters. This will be their third meeting in a major tournament, and the first at the European Championship. Poland’s only victory in these fixtures came in the 1982 FIFA World Cup third place play-off.

Possible Player Form and Availability

France:

• Goalkeeper: Mike Maignan
• Defenders: Jules Kounde, William Saliba, Dayot Upamecano, Theo Hernandez
• Midfielders: Aurelien Tchouameni, N’Golo Kante, Adrien Rabiot, Antoine Griezmann
• Forwards: Ousmane Dembele, Kylian Mbappé

Poland:

• Goalkeeper: Wojciech Szczesny
• Defenders: Jan Bednarek, Jakub Kiwior
• Midfielders: Pawel Dawidowicz, Przemyslaw Frankowski, Jakub Piotrowski, Bartosz Slisz, Nicola Zalewski, Piotr Zielinski
• Forwards: Adam Buksa, Krzysztof Piatek

Market Analysis (Odds)

• France Win: 1.29
• Poland Win: 10.00
• Over 2.5 Goals: Shorter price than Under 2.5 Goals
• Both Teams to Score No: 1.73

Predictions

France 1 – Poland 0

France’s strong defense and Poland’s recent struggles suggest a narrow win for France. With their solid defensive record and Mbappé’s potential return, France is likely to maintain their clean sheet streak and secure a win.

Key Stats & Insights

• Austria has suffered seven consecutive defeats against the Netherlands, marking their longest losing streak against a single team.
• In three of the last five encounters between these teams, both have managed to score.
• The Netherlands has seen over 2.5 goals in five of their last six matches.

Game Preview

Netherlands:

The Netherlands recently held France to a goalless draw on matchday two, though they were disappointed with the officials as Xavi Simons’ goal was ruled out for offside despite not interfering with play.

Ronald Koeman’s side needs only a draw on Tuesday to secure a top-two finish, having already ensured their progression to the knockout stages for the eighth time in nine tournaments. They missed qualification only in 2012 under Bert van Marwijk.

A win or a draw matching France’s result against Poland will also guarantee the Netherlands top spot in their group, as they currently lead Didier Deschamps’ team on goals scored.

Austria:

Austria had a slow start in their game against Poland, but managed to go into halftime with a 1-1 scoreline.

The introduction of Patrick Winner immediately after the break revitalized Ralf Rangnick’s squad, leading to a dominant second half where they netted two more goals to secure a 3-1 victory.

With their first points on the board, Austria is brimming with confidence. A draw against the Netherlands might be enough to see them advance to the knockout stage as one of the best third-placed teams.

Team Form and Performance

Netherlands – Last 10 Competitive Games:

• Wins: 6
• Losses: 3
• Draws: 1
• Goals: 2.0 per game
• Shots on Goal: 5.4 per game
• Possession: 53.9%
• Corners: 5.6 per game
• Goals Conceded: 1.1 per game

Top Performers:

• Wout Weghorst and Cody Gakpo: 4 goals each
• Calvin Stengs: 3 goals
• Denzel Dumfries: 3 assists
• Goalkeepers Bart Verbruggen and Mark Flekken: 5 clean sheets

Austria – Last 10 Competitive Games:

• Wins: 7
• Losses: 2
• Draws: 1
• Goals: 2.0 per game
• Shots on Goal: 6.7 per game
• Possession: 55.3%
• Corners: 5.1 per game
• Goals Conceded: 0.9 per game

Top Performers:

• Christoph Baumgartner and Marcel Sabitzer: 4 goals each
• Marko Arnautovic: 3 goals
• Stefan Posch, Marcel Sabitzer, and Christoph Baumgartner: 2 assists each

Head-to-Head Records

Austria faces a tough challenge as they have lost their last seven matches against the Netherlands. Their last win against the Dutch was in a 3-2 friendly in Vienna in May 1990. In major tournaments, the Netherlands defeated Austria 5-1 at the 1978 FIFA World Cup and 2-0 at Euro 2020, with Memphis Depay and Denzel Dumfries scoring in the latter match.

Possible Player Form and Availability

Netherlands

• Goalkeeper: Bart Verbruggen
• Defenders: Denzel Dumfries, Stefan De Vrij, Virgil Van Dijk, Nathan Ake
• Midfield: Jerdy Schouten, Tijani Reijnders
• Attackers: Xavi Simons, Jeremie Frimpong, Memphis Depay, Cody Gakpo

Austria

• Goalkeeper: Patrick Pentz
• Defenders: Stefan Posch, Philipp Lienhart, Gernot Trauner, Philipp Mwene
• Midfielders: Christoph Baumgartner, Florian Grillitsch, Nicolas Seiwald, Konrad Laimer, Marcel Sabitzer
• Attacker: Marko Arnautovic

Market Analysis (Odds)

• Netherlands: 2.00 (50% chance of winning)
• Austria: 4.10
• Over 2.5 Goals: Close call
• Both Teams to Score (Yes): 1.80
• Draw No Bet:
  • Netherlands: 1.40
  • Austria: 2.75

Predictions

Austria may find it challenging to score against the Netherlands. Our prediction is a narrow 1-0 victory for the Netherlands. Betting on the Netherlands to win at odds of 2.00 is a sound choice.

Key Stats & Insights

• Denmark drew 1-1 with England in their last match.
• Denmark is aiming to progress to the knockout stage in consecutive European Championships for the first time.
• Serbia drew 1-1 with Slovenia in their previous match.
• Serbia has won only four of their last 13 games in all competitions, with just two clean sheets in their last 14 matches.

Game Preview

Denmark enters this match after a 1-1 draw against England. In that game, Denmark had 51% possession and 16 shots on goal, with 7 on target. Morten Hjulmand scored for Denmark, while Harry Kane scored for England. Denmark aims to advance from the group stage in consecutive European Championships for the first time, having reached the semi-finals in Euro 2020.

Serbia also comes into this game after a 1-1 draw, this time against Slovenia. Serbia managed 61% possession and 15 shots on goal, with 4 on target. Luka Jović scored for Serbia in stoppage time. Serbia is still seeking their first win in the tournament and has struggled in major tournaments recently, going winless in their last seven matches.

Team Form and Performance

Denmark – Last 10 Competitive Games

• Wins: 6
• Draws: 3
• Losses: 1
• Goals Scored: 16
• Goals Conceded: 8
• Key Players: Jonas Wind (3 goals), Christian Eriksen (2 goals, 3 assists), Kasper Schmeichel (3 clean sheets)

Serbia – Last 10 Competitive Games

• Wins: 4
• Draws: 3
• Losses: 3
• Goals Scored: 16
• Goals Conceded: 11
• Key Players: Aleksandar Mitrovic (5 goals), Dusan Vlahovic (3 goals), Dusan Tadic (4 assists)

Head-to-Head Records

Denmark has won all three of their matches against Serbia since 2006, scoring eight goals and conceding only one. Their last encounter was a 3-0 victory for Denmark in Copenhagen in 2022.

Possible Player Form and Availability

Denmark Predicted Lineup (3-4-1-2):

• Goalkeeper: Kasper Schmeichel
• Defenders: Joachim Andersen, Jannik Vestergaard, Andreas Christensen
• Midfielders: Joakim Maehle, Victor Kristiansen, Morten Hjulmand, Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg, Christian Eriksen
• Forwards: Jonas Wind, Rasmus Hojlund

Serbia Predicted Lineup (3-4-1-2):

• Goalkeeper: Predrag Rajkovic
• Defenders: Milos Veljkovic, Nikola Milenkovic, Strahinja Pavlovic, Filip Mladenovic
• Midfielders: Ivan Ilic, Sasa Lukic
• Forwards: Andrija Zivkovic, Aleksandar Mitrovic, Dusan Vlahovic, Dusan Tadic

Market Analysis (Odds)

Bookmakers have Denmark as favorites with odds of 2.25, implying a 44% chance of winning. Serbia is priced at 3.20, indicating they are the underdogs. Over/Under 2.5 Goals market is balanced, and Both Teams to Score (BTTS) Yes is available at 1.73.

Predictions

Denmark 2 – Serbia 1

Denmark’s strong form and defensive solidity make them favorites to win. Serbia’s struggles in major tournaments and defensive issues suggest they will have a tough time. Denmark is likely to edge out a narrow victory, maintaining their bid to progress to the knockout stage.

Game Preview

Spain:

Spain were outstanding in their 1-0 win against Italy, dominating possession and creating numerous chances. Having already secured their spot at the top of the group with a 3-0 win over Croatia and the victory against Italy, manager Luis de la Fuente may opt to rest key players for this match against Albania. Spain’s wingers have been particularly impressive, contributing significantly to their success in the tournament. They won possession in the final third 10 times against Italy, their highest in a Euros game since the 2008 quarter-final against the same opponent.

Albania:

Albania has performed admirably despite being the underdogs in this group. They narrowly lost 2-1 to Italy on matchday one and secured a dramatic 2-2 draw with Croatia, thanks to Klaus Gjasula’s last-minute equalizer. With a chance to qualify, Albania will look to build on their strong start and secure a positive result against Spain. Notably, Albania has scored the opening goal in both of their matches so far, but they have yet to win.

Key Stats & Insights

• Albania drew 2-2 with Croatia in their second Euro 2024 encounter.
• Spain defeated Italy 1-0 at VELTINS-Arena in their last match.
• Spain have an impeccable record against Albania, winning all eight previous meetings, scoring 31 goals, and conceding just three.

Team Form and Performance

Albania – Last 10 Competitive Games

• Record: 4 wins, 2 losses, 4 draws
• Goals: 1.5 per game
• Shots: 3.8 on goal, 8.7 attempts
• Possession: 49.9%
• Corners: 2.5 per game
• Conceded: 0.8 goals per game

Spain – Last 10 Competitive Games

• Record: 8 wins, 1 loss, 1 draw
• Goals: 3.3 per game
• Shots: 6.5 on goal, 19.0 attempts
• Possession: 63.6%
• Corners: 6.8 per game
• Conceded: 0.8 goals per game

Head-to-Head Records

Spain has dominated their encounters with Albania, winning all eight previous matches, scoring 31 goals, and conceding only three. Their last meeting was on March 26, 2022, when Spain secured a 2-0 victory at RCDE Stadium.

Possible Player Form and Availability

Albania:

• Goalkeeper: Thomas Strakosha
• Defenders: Elseid Hysaj, Arlind Ajeti, Berat Djimsiti, Mario Mitaj
• Midfielders: Qazim Laci, Ylber Latif Ramadani, Kristjan Asllani, Nedim Bajrami
• Attackers: Rei Manaj, Jasir Asani

Spain:

• Goalkeeper: Unai Simon
• Defenders: Dani Carvajal, Robin Le Normand, Aymeric Laporte, Marc Cucurella
• Midfielders: Fabian Ruiz, Pedri, Rodri, Nico Williams
• Attackers: Alvaro Morata, Lamine Yamal

Market Analysis (Odds)

• Full-Time Result: Spain 1.40, Draw 4.33, Albania 7.50
• Total Goals: Over 2.5 Goals is the market leader.
• Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Close odds between Yes and No.

Predictions

Spain is expected to dominate possession and create multiple scoring opportunities. Albania may find it difficult to break down Spain’s defense but could manage to score. The predicted outcome is a 3-1 victory for Spain. A recommended bet is Spain to win with a -1.5 goal handicap, currently offered at 2.30.