Key Stats & Insights
- Uruguay’s Recent Performance: Uruguay’s last match ended in a 1-0 win against the USA.
- Brazil’s Recent Performance: Brazil drew 1-1 with Colombia in their previous match.
- Tournament Consistency: Brazil and Uruguay are among the three teams (alongside Argentina) that have not fallen behind at any point during the tournament.
Game Preview
Brazil finished second in Group D, trailing Colombia, with two draws and one win. This position has set them up for a significant quarter-final challenge.
Real Madrid forward Vinícius Júnior is Brazil’s leading scorer in the tournament, with two goals, both from a 4-1 victory over Paraguay on Matchday 2.
Uruguay has lost only one of their 10 quarter-final matches at the Copa America since this round began in 1993. Half of these games have gone to penalty shootouts, with Uruguay winning two of those.
This is the first knockout encounter between these nations at the Copa America since the 2007 semi-finals, where Brazil triumphed on penalties and went on to become champions.
Knocking out Brazil will be a formidable task, as they have never lost a knockout match against Uruguay in the Copa America, recording two wins and three draws (one win and one loss in penalty shootouts).
Since 2011, Brazil has not conceded more than one goal in any of their last 24 Copa America matches, showcasing their defensive resilience.
Team Form and Performance
Uruguay – Last 10 Competitive Games
Uruguay has won 8, lost 1, and drawn 1 in their last 10 competitive matches, averaging 2.4 goals from 5.0 shots on goal and 11.7 attempts. They maintain an average of 50.7% possession and 3.5 corners per game, while conceding 0.6 goals from 2.4 shots on goal and 6.7 attempts.
- Top Scorer: Darwin Nunez (7 goals)
- Key Assist Provider: Nicolas de la Cruz (5 assists)
- Clean Sheets: Sergio Rochet (3 clean sheets)
Brazil – Last 10 Competitive Games
Brazil has a mixed record with 3 wins, 4 losses, and 3 draws. They average 1.6 goals from 11.4 attempts and 4.9 shots on goal, with 60.3% possession, 5.9 corners for, and 3.1 corners against per game. They concede 1.4 goals from 7.5 attempts and 3.3 shots on goal.
- Top Scorer: Neymar (3 goals)
- Key Assist Provider: Neymar (3 assists)
- Clean Sheets: Alisson Becker (1 clean sheet)
Head-to-Head Records
Their last encounter was at the Estadio Centenario in Montevideo on October 18, 2023, where Uruguay emerged victorious. In their previous three matches, Brazil scored a total of 6 goals, while Uruguay netted 3.
Possible Player Form and Availability
Uruguay Predicted Lineup:
- Goalkeeper: Sergio Rochet
- Defenders: Nahitan Nandez, Ronald Araujo, Mathias Olivera, Matias Vina
- Midfielders: Manuel Ugarte, Federico Valverde, Facundo Pellistri, Nicolas de la Cruz, Cristian Olivera
- Forward: Darwin Nunez
Brazil Predicted Lineup:
- Goalkeeper: Alisson Becker
- Defenders: Danilo, Eder Militao, Marquinhos, Guilherme Arana
- Midfielders: Bruno Guimaraes, Joao Gomes, Raphinha, Lucas Paqueta, Rodrygo
- Forward: Endrick
Market Analysis (Odds)
- Match Outcome: The draw is trading at 3.00, with both Uruguay and Brazil having odds of 3.00 and 2.60 respectively.
- Goals Market: Under 2.5 Goals is a favored option, suggesting expectations of a low-scoring match.
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes is offered at 1.95, while No is at 1.80.
Predictions
Predicted Score: Uruguay 1 – 1 Brazil
Analysis:
- Brazil: Despite a solid defensive record, Brazil’s form has been inconsistent. Their defensive strength may be tested against Uruguay’s potent attack led by Darwin Nunez.
- Uruguay: With only one loss in their last 10 quarter-final matches at the Copa America, Uruguay’s experience in this round could be crucial.
Expect a tight and evenly matched contest, likely ending in a 1-1 draw at the end of 90 minutes.
Betting Tip: Consider betting on a draw with a final score of 1-1.