Betscience

Las Palmas will host Real Madrid in an intriguing La Liga fixture where the visitors are clear favorites. Las Palmas, struggling in the league, are winless in their last 16 matches, making this a daunting task against a Real Madrid side that has been dominant in recent head-to-head encounters.

Key Stats & Insights

• Las Palmas’ Struggles: Las Palmas have failed to win any of their last 16 La Liga matches and have not beaten Real Madrid in their last 9 meetings.
• Real Madrid’s Dominance: Real Madrid has covered the -1.5 Asian Handicap in 9 of their last 20 games and have an excellent away record against Las Palmas, remaining undefeated in their last 4 visits.
• Goals Expected: The average goals per game in the last six meetings between these two teams is 3.5, indicating a potential for goals in this match.

Team Form and Performance

Las Palmas (Last 10 League Games):

• Form: 6 losses, 4 draws.
• Goals: Averaging 0.7 goals per game with 57.8% possession.
• Defensive Record: Conceding 1.8 goals per game on average.

Real Madrid (Last 10 League Games):

• Form: 7 wins, 3 draws.
• Goals: Averaging 2.5 goals per game with 59.4% possession.
• Defensive Record: Conceding only 0.7 goals per game.

Head-to-Head Records

• Last 5 Meetings: Real Madrid has won 4, and there was 1 draw.
• Recent Dominance: Real Madrid has won the last four matches against Las Palmas, with the most recent being a 2-1 victory away.

Player Form and Availability

• Las Palmas: Sandro Ramirez remains a key player, having scored in their recent loss. However, their overall goal-scoring ability remains limited.
• Real Madrid: Fede Valverde has been in excellent form, providing creativity and goals. Real Madrid will be without Jude Bellingham due to injury, but the squad depth is more than capable of filling the gap.

Predicted Lineup

Las Palmas (4-2-3-1):

• Cillessen (GK)
• Alex Suarez, McKenna, Marmol, Munoz
• Loiodice, Rodriguez
• Park, Javier Munoz, Moleiro
• Mata

Real Madrid (4-2-3-1):

• Courtois (GK)
• Carvajal, Militao, Rudiger, Mendy
• Valverde, Tchouameni
• Rodrygo, Arda Guler, Vinicius Junior
• Mbappe

Market Analysis (Odds)

• Real Madrid Win: 1.33 (77% implied probability)
• Draw: 5.25 (19% implied probability)
• Las Palmas Win: 8.50 (12% implied probability)
• Asian Handicap: Real Madrid -1.5 at +107 offers value given their dominant form.
• Over/Under 2.5 Goals: Likely to be over, considering the historical goal average in this matchup.

Predictions

• Final Score Prediction: Real Madrid 2-0 Las Palmas
• Best Bets:
  • Real Madrid -1.5 Asian Handicap at +107, as Real Madrid should win comfortably.
  • Under 3.5 Goals as a secondary option, given the likelihood of a controlled performance by Real Madrid.

Girona hosts Osasuna in what promises to be an intriguing La Liga clash. Girona, coming off a 3-0 defeat to Atletico Madrid, will look to bounce back at home where they’ve been formidable. Osasuna, meanwhile, secured a narrow 1-0 victory over Mallorca and will aim to continue their unbeaten run. This matchup has been favorable to Girona in recent meetings, but Osasuna’s resilience makes them a tough opponent.

Key Stats & Insights

• Girona’s Home Form: Girona has covered the Over 2.5 goals line in 4 of their last 5 home games, showcasing their attacking prowess.
• Osasuna’s Away Form: Osasuna has seen Over 2.5 goals in all of their last 5 away games, indicating a likelihood of goals in this encounter.
• Recent H2H: Girona has won the last two encounters against Osasuna, including a 2-0 victory in their last meeting.

Team Form and Performance

Girona (Last 10 League Games):

• Form: 5 wins, 3 losses, 2 draws.
• Goals: Averaging 2.4 goals per game with 57.7% possession.
• Top Scorer: Artem Dovbyk with 8 goals.
• Defensive Record: Conceding 1.4 goals per game.

Osasuna (Last 10 League Games):

• Form: 2 wins, 4 losses, 4 draws.
• Goals: Averaging 1.1 goals per game with 48.4% possession.
• Top Scorer: Raul Garcia with 3 goals.
• Defensive Record: Conceding 1.4 goals per game.

Head-to-Head Records

• Last 5 Meetings: Girona has won 3, Osasuna 1, and 1 draw.
• Recent Dominance: Girona has won the last two matches, including a 2-0 victory at home.

Player Form and Availability

• Girona: Key players like Artem Dovbyk (8 goals) and Viktor Tsigankov (3 assists) are in good form. However, they will miss the influence of recent departures such as Savio.
• Osasuna: Ruben Garcia has been crucial, scoring the winning goal in their last game. They will miss Kike Barja and Iker Muñoz due to injuries.

Predicted Lineup

Girona (4-3-3):

• Gazzaniga (GK)
• Arnau Martinez, David Lopez, Daley Blind, Miguel Gutierrez
• Ivan Martin, Oriol Romeu, Yangel Herrera
• Cristian Portu, Abel Ruiz, Bryan Gil

Osasuna (4-2-3-1):

• Herrera (GK)
• Areso, Catena, Herrando, Bretones
• Moncayola, Torro
• Ruben Garcia, Oroz, Bryan Zaragoza
• Ante Budimir

Market Analysis (Odds)

• Girona Win: 1.67 (60% implied probability)
• Draw: 4.00 (25% implied probability)
• Osasuna Win: 4.60 (21.7% implied probability)
• Over 2.5 Goals: Odds are -125, with a calculated probability of 60-65% for this outcome.

Predictions

• Final Score Prediction: Girona 2-1 Osasuna
• Best Bets:
  • Over 2.5 Goals at -125, given both teams’ recent form and scoring trends.
  • Girona to Win at 1.67, considering their home advantage and recent H2H dominance.

Atlético Madrid will host Espanyol in a La Liga match at the Civitas Metropolitano. Atlético comes into this game in strong form, while Espanyol is struggling to find their footing early in the season. This clash looks set to be a one-sided affair, with the hosts heavily favored.

Key Stats & Insights

• Atlético Madrid’s Dominance: Atlético has won 7 of their last 10 league matches, showcasing their consistent performance. They’ve also been unbeaten against Espanyol in their last six encounters.
• Espanyol’s Struggles: Espanyol has failed to win in their last six away league games and have only scored 0.8 goals per game in their last 10 outings. They have been particularly weak offensively, with their last match resulting in a narrow 1-0 loss to Real Sociedad.
• Head-to-Head: Atlético has a strong recent record against Espanyol, having won three of the last six meetings, with the other three ending in draws. The most recent encounter ended in a high-scoring 3-3 draw.

Team Form and Performance

• Atlético Madrid: Atlético has been in good form, with a record of 7 wins, 2 losses, and 1 draw in their last 10 league matches. Their attack has been potent, averaging 1.9 goals per game. Antoine Griezmann remains their top scorer with 6 goals this season, and Jan Oblak has kept 5 clean sheets in the last 10 matches.
• Espanyol: Espanyol’s form has been inconsistent, with 4 wins, 3 losses, and 3 draws in their last 10 matches. They have struggled to score, with an average of 0.8 goals per game, and their defense has also been shaky, conceding 0.4 goals per match.

Head-to-Head Records

Atlético Madrid has dominated recent head-to-head encounters with Espanyol. Despite a thrilling 3-3 draw in their last meeting, Atlético remains unbeaten in their last six matches against Espanyol, showcasing their superiority in this fixture.

Player Form and Availability

• Atlético Madrid: Antoine Griezmann is in excellent form, having scored in their recent 3-0 win over Girona. Alexander Sorloth is expected to start, aiming to replicate his impressive numbers from last season. Atlético has no significant injury concerns, with only Thomas Lemar being a doubt.
• Espanyol: Espanyol will be without Leandro Cabrera due to injury. Javier Puado has been their top scorer with 4 goals this season, but the team has struggled to find consistent offensive output.

Predicted Lineup

• Atlético Madrid (5-3-2): Oblak; Gimenez, Witsel, Le Normand, Molina, Lino; De Paul, Koke, Griezmann; Alvarez, Sorloth.
• Espanyol (3-5-2): Garcia; El Hilali, Kumbulla, Gomez; Tejero, Aguado, Gragera, Kral, Olivan; Puado, Veliz.

Market Analysis (Odds)

• Atlético Madrid to Win: With odds of 1.25, Atlético Madrid is the clear favorite, reflecting a 75% implied probability of winning. Given Espanyol’s poor form, this seems a strong bet.
• Total Goals (Under 2.5): Given the teams’ recent performances and defensive setups, betting on under 2.5 goals at -100 is appealing, especially considering the likelihood of a low-scoring affair.

Final Score Prediction & Best Bets

• Final Score Prediction: Atlético Madrid 2-0 Espanyol.
• Best Bets:
  • Atlético Madrid to Win at 1.25.
  • Under 2.5 Goals at -100.
  • Correct Score of 2-0 at +450.

Athletic Club hosts Valencia in a La Liga clash at San Mamés, with both teams looking to improve on recent performances. Athletic Club is coming off a narrow defeat to Barcelona, while Valencia has struggled in recent outings, making this an intriguing encounter.

Key Stats & Insights

• Athletic Club’s Home Strength: Athletic have won 12 of their last 20 home games, showcasing their strong form at San Mamés.
• Valencia’s Struggles: Valencia has lost 7 of their last 10 league matches, including the last two. They have struggled both defensively and offensively, averaging just 0.9 goals per game in their last 10 outings.
• Head-to-Head: The last 10 meetings between these two teams have been closely contested, with Athletic winning three, Valencia two, and five matches ending in a draw. The last encounter ended in a 1-0 victory for Valencia.

Team Form and Performance

• Athletic Club: Athletic has been inconsistent, with 3 wins, 3 losses, and 4 draws in their last 10 matches. Despite this, they have maintained a solid home record, unbeaten in their last 19 home league matches. Key players include Oihan Sancet and Iñaki Williams, who have been among the top contributors this season.
• Valencia: Valencia has been in poor form, with only 1 win in their last 10 games. Their defensive frailties are evident, having conceded 11 goals in their last 6 matches. Their inability to secure wins away from home further adds to their woes, having failed to win in their last 4 away league games.

Head-to-Head Records

Athletic and Valencia have had a balanced head-to-head record in recent years. Athletic’s last home win against Valencia came more than a year ago, and their recent meetings have often been low-scoring affairs, with 11 of the last 12 matches decided by a single goal or ending in a draw.

Player Form and Availability

• Athletic Club: Oihan Sancet has been in good form, scoring in the last two games, and will be a key player. However, Nico Williams is doubtful due to injury, along with Aitor Paredes and Unai Simón.
• Valencia: Valencia is missing several key players, including José Gayà and Mouctar Diakhaby. Diego López, who scored in their last match, will be crucial for their attacking hopes.

Predicted Lineup

• Athletic Club (4-2-3-1): Agirrezabala; Gorosabel, Vivian, Yeray, Lekue; Prados, Herrera; Iñaki Williams, Sancet, Berenguer; Guruzeta.
• Valencia (4-2-3-1): Mamardashvili; Foulquier, Mosquera, Gasiorowski, Vazquez; Guerra, Pepelu; Diego López, Almeida, Rioja; Duro.

Market Analysis (Odds)

• Athletic Club to Win: Odds of 1.67 (implied probability of 62%) make Athletic the favorites. Given Valencia’s poor form, this seems a strong bet.
• Correct Score Prediction: A 2-0 win for Athletic Club is a solid prediction, with odds of +1400 offering value.

Final Score Prediction & Best Bets

• Final Score Prediction: Athletic Club 2-0 Valencia.
• Best Bets:
  • Athletic Club to Win at 1.67.
  • Under 2.5 Goals at 1.75.
  • Correct Score of 2-0 at +1400

Villarreal hosts Celta Vigo in what promises to be an exciting La Liga encounter. Both teams come into this match with strong recent form, and goals are expected to flow given their offensive capabilities and recent history of high-scoring matches.

Key Stats & Insights

• Villarreal’s Last 10 League Games: 5 wins, 1 loss, and 4 draws, with an average of 2.1 goals per game. They’ve conceded an average of 1.5 goals per match.
• Celta Vigo’s Last 10 League Games: 6 wins, 3 losses, and 1 draw, averaging 1.9 goals per game. They’ve conceded 1.5 goals per match.
• Head-to-Head: Villarreal has the upper hand with 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last 6 meetings. Their most recent encounter saw Celta Vigo win 3-2.
• Total Goals: The Over 2.5 goals line has been covered in the last 5 home games for Villarreal and in 9 of the last 10 games for Celta Vigo.

Team Form and Performance

Villarreal:

• Recent Form: WWDDDW
• Villarreal is in good form, coming off a 2-1 away victory against Sevilla. They have been consistent in finding the back of the net, scoring in each of their last 6 games.
• Key Players: Alexander Soerloth (9 goals) leads the scoring charts, with Arnaut Danjuma and Yerson Mosquera also contributing. Alejandro Baena has provided 6 assists this season.

Celta Vigo:

• Recent Form: LWWDWW
• Celta Vigo has been solid, winning their last two matches, including a 3-1 victory over Valencia. They have been effective in front of goal, particularly through Iago Aspas, who has 6 goals and 5 assists.
• Key Players: Iago Aspas (6 goals), Williot Swedberg, and Anastasios Douvikas (3 goals each) are key offensive threats.

Predicted Lineups

Villarreal (4-4-2):

• Goalkeeper: Diego Conde
• Defenders: Kiko, Raul Albiol, Eric Bailly, Sergi Cardona
• Midfielders: Yeremi Pino, Daniel Parejo, Santi Comesana, Alejandro Baena
• Forwards: Gerard Moreno, Ayoze Perez

Celta Vigo (3-4-2-1):

• Goalkeeper: Ivan Villar
• Defenders: Javi Rodriguez, Jailson, Carlos Dominguez
• Midfielders: Hugo Alvarez, Oscar Mingueza, Damian Rodriguez, Fran Beltran
• Attackers: Iago Aspas, Williot Swedberg, Anastasios Douvikas

Market Analysis (Odds)

• Villarreal to Win: 1.88 (54% implied probability)
• Draw: 3.60
• Celta Vigo to Win: 4.00 (26.7% implied probability)
• Over 2.5 Goals: -110 (52.4% implied probability, but our research suggests a higher likelihood of 55-60%)
• Both Teams to Score (BTTS): -143, reflecting the expectation of a high-scoring game.

Predictions

• Final Score Prediction: Villarreal 2-1 Celta Vigo. Villarreal’s home advantage and recent form suggest they will edge out a win, but Celta’s ability to score should make this a competitive match.
• Best Bets:
  • Over 2.5 Goals: Both teams have been involved in high-scoring games recently, making this a solid bet.
  • Both Teams to Score (BTTS): With both teams showing strong attacking form, this bet looks likely to pay off.

Summary

Villarreal and Celta Vigo are set for a thrilling La Liga match, with goals expected on both sides. Villarreal is predicted to win 2-1, with betting options on Over 2.5 Goals and Both Teams to Score looking attractive.