Key Stats & Insights
- PSG Dominance: Paris Saint-Germain is unbeaten in their last nine encounters with Le Havre, winning eight of those matches.
- High-Scoring Games: Four of the last six matches between these teams have seen over 2.5 goals.
- Le Havre Struggles: Le Havre has lost 12 of their last 20 matches, indicating a difficult run of form.
- PSG’s Away Strength: PSG has not lost any of their last 10 away matches, showcasing their strong performances on the road.
Game Preview
Le Havre:
Le Havre enters this match without any injury concerns, allowing them to field their strongest lineup against the reigning champions. In their last outing, Le Havre suffered a narrow 2-1 defeat to Marseille. Despite this, Mohamed Bayo managed to find the back of the net, and the team registered six shots on target, suggesting they can be competitive.
However, Le Havre’s overall form has been concerning, with only two wins in their last ten Ligue 1 games. Their defensive frailties have been evident, conceding an average of 1.4 goals per game.
PSG:
Paris Saint-Germain, under new manager Luis Enrique, is looking to start the season strongly as they defend their Ligue 1 title. PSG is in excellent shape, with no absentees reported for this match. Their last competitive game saw them secure a 2-1 win over Lyon in the Coupe de France, with goals from Ousmane Dembele and Fabian Ruiz.
PSG’s recent form is strong, boasting six wins in their last ten league games. They are particularly potent in attack, averaging 2.7 goals per game while maintaining 66% possession. The addition of players like Ousmane Dembele and Randal Kolo Muani further bolsters their already formidable attacking lineup.
Team Form and Performance
Le Havre – Last 10 League Games:
- Record: 2 Wins, 6 Losses, 2 Draws
- Goals: Averaging 1.0 goals per game
- Key Players: André Ayew (3 goals), Josue Casimir (2 assists)
- Defensive Concerns: Conceding an average of 1.4 goals per game
PSG – Last 10 League Games:
- Record: 6 Wins, 1 Loss, 3 Draws
- Goals: Averaging 2.7 goals per game
- Key Players: Ousmane Dembele, Fabian Ruiz, Gonçalo Ramos
- Defensive Stability: Conceding 1.4 goals per game, but strong possession and control
Head-to-Head Records
Historically, PSG has dominated Le Havre, winning 83% of their encounters since 2002. The last time these teams met, PSG managed a 3-3 draw despite controlling the majority of the game with 77% possession. This result shows that while Le Havre can be resilient, PSG’s superior quality often prevails.
Player Form and Availability
Le Havre Predicted Lineup: Desmas (GK), Sangante, Kinkoue, Lloris, Zouaoui, Diawara, Toure, Casimir, Kuzyaev, Joujou, Ngoura
PSG Predicted Lineup: Donnarumma (GK), Zague, Pacho, Skriniar, Soler, Asensio, Vitinha, Zaire-Emery, Mbaye, Lee, Muani
Injuries and Suspensions: Both teams are expected to have their full squads available, with no major injury concerns reported.
Market Analysis (Odds)
- Le Havre Win: 7.00
- Draw: 4.50
- PSG Win: 1.44
The odds heavily favor PSG, with bookmakers predicting a straightforward win for the visitors. However, the value might lie in the handicap markets, where PSG is expected to win by a larger margin.
Prediction
Le Havre might find the back of the net, but PSG’s quality should see them secure a comfortable victory. Expect PSG to dominate possession and create numerous scoring opportunities. A 3-1 win for PSG is a likely outcome.
Betting Tip: Back PSG at +110 to overcome a -1.5 goal margin on the Asian Handicap market, meaning they need to win by two goals or more for a successful bet.