OGC Nice is set to host Toulouse FC in a closely contested Ligue 1 encounter. Both teams are coming off mixed results, making this match pivotal for gaining momentum in the league. Nice, having had a solid home record last season, will look to capitalize on their home advantage, while Toulouse aims to continue their decent run away from home.
Key Stats & Insights
- Nice Home Performance: Nice have won 11 of their last 20 home games, reflecting a strong performance at Allianz Riviera.
- Goals Expectation: Four of the last five home games for Nice have seen over 2.5 total goals.
- Head-to-Head: In the last 8 meetings, Nice have a slight edge with 3 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses against Toulouse.
- Recent Form: Nice has shown a pattern of inconsistency, with a mix of wins, losses, and draws in their last 10 league games, averaging 1.7 goals per match. Toulouse has mirrored this form with 4 wins, 3 losses, and 3 draws, scoring 1.5 goals per match on average.
Team Form and Performance
Nice:
- Recent league form: 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses.
- Average goals scored per game: 1.7.
- Top scorers: Terem Moffi (4 goals), Mohamed-Ali Cho (2 goals).
- Key player absences: Terem Moffi (injury), Sofiane Diop (injury).
Toulouse:
- Recent league form: 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses.
- Average goals scored per game: 1.5.
- Top scorers: Thijs Dallinga (5 goals), Vincent Sierro (3 goals).
- Key player absence: Shavi Babicka (injury).
Head-to-Head Records
- Last meeting: Toulouse defeated Nice 2-1 at home.
- Recent head-to-heads favor Nice with 3 wins out of the last 8 encounters.
Player Form and Availability
- Nice: Mohamed-Ali Cho has been in decent form, scoring in recent matches. The absence of Terem Moffi could impact their attacking prowess.
- Toulouse: Thijs Dallinga is the player to watch for Toulouse, having scored 5 goals in their last 10 matches.
Market Analysis (Odds)
- Nice Win: 1.83 (approximately 53% implied probability).
- Draw: 3.60.
- Toulouse Win: 4.20.
- Over/Under 2.5 Goals: The market offers nearly even odds, indicating uncertainty about the total goals.
Predictions
Given Nice’s strong home record and Toulouse’s inconsistency, Nice is favored to win this encounter. The predicted scoreline is a 2-1 victory for Nice, offering a decent return at +750 odds. While Toulouse has shown resilience away from home, Nice’s overall quality and home advantage should see them through