Mallorca will host Sevilla at Son Moix in what promises to be an intriguing La Liga clash. Both teams have struggled for form in recent weeks, with Mallorca looking to bounce back after a 1-0 loss to Osasuna, while Sevilla are eager to end their winless streak following a 2-1 defeat at home to Villarreal. This match could be a pivotal moment for either side as they seek to gain some momentum in the league.
Key Stats & Insights
- Mallorca’s Recent Form: WDDWDL in their last six matches, with a focus on defensive solidity at home.
- Sevilla’s Recent Form: LLLLDL, struggling with defensive issues, having conceded 12 goals in their last six games.
- Head-to-Head: Sevilla has had the upper hand in recent meetings, winning three of the last six encounters, while Mallorca managed just one win.
- Low-Scoring Trend: Most of the recent encounters between these two sides have been low-scoring, with five of the last six matches producing under 2.5 goals.
Team Form and Performance
Mallorca
Mallorca have been inconsistent, but they have shown resilience at home, remaining unbeaten in their last three home league matches. However, their attack has been underwhelming, averaging just 0.9 goals per game over their last 10 matches. Defensively, they’ve been decent, conceding an average of 1.1 goals per match.
Key Player: Vedat Muriqi leads the attack with 3 goals this season, and his ability to hold up play and bring others into the game will be crucial.
Sevilla
Sevilla are in poor form, failing to win any of their last six matches in La Liga. Their defense has been particularly porous, conceding 12 goals in those games. However, they have a good recent record against Mallorca and will look to leverage that.
Key Player: Youssef En-Nesyri, with 6 goals, remains their most potent goal threat, and Sevilla will need him to be at his best to break down Mallorca’s defense.
Head-to-Head Records
- Recent Meetings: Sevilla have won 3 of the last 6 meetings, with Mallorca winning only once.
- Goals Per Game: The average goals per game in these encounters is 1.5, suggesting a likely low-scoring affair.
Player Form and Availability
- Mallorca: No major injury concerns, with the squad largely fit. Predrag Rajkovic is expected to continue in goal.
- Sevilla: Several injuries could impact Sevilla’s lineup, with Joan Jordán and Suso sidelined. Kelechi Iheanacho might start as the central striker.
Predicted Lineups
- Mallorca (4-2-3-1): Dominik Greif; Pablo Maffeo, Jose Copete, Antonio Raillo, Johan Mojica; Samu, Manu Morlanes; Takuma Asano, Sergi Darder, Daniel Rodriguez; Vedat Muriqi.
- Sevilla (4-3-3): Oerjan Haaskjold Nyland; Jesus Navas, Loic Bade, Nemanja Gudelj, Adria Pedrosa; Juanlu Sanchez, Lucien Agoume, Saul Niguez; Dodi Lukebakio, Kelechi Iheanacho, Lucas Ocampos.
Market Analysis (Odds)
- Mallorca Win: 2.40 (42% probability)
- Draw: 3.10 (32.3% probability)
- Sevilla Win: 3.40 (29.4% probability)
Handicap Betting: Sevilla +0.25 at -109 is a value bet considering their solid head-to-head record against Mallorca.
Predictions
Final Score Prediction: Mallorca 1-1 Sevilla
This match is expected to be closely contested with a draw being a likely outcome. Both teams have struggled to find form, and a low-scoring draw seems plausible.
Best Bets
- Under 2.5 Goals: Considering the recent trends, betting on under 2.5 goals seems like a safe option.