Las Palmas will host Real Madrid in an intriguing La Liga fixture where the visitors are clear favorites. Las Palmas, struggling in the league, are winless in their last 16 matches, making this a daunting task against a Real Madrid side that has been dominant in recent head-to-head encounters.
Key Stats & Insights
- Las Palmas’ Struggles: Las Palmas have failed to win any of their last 16 La Liga matches and have not beaten Real Madrid in their last 9 meetings.
- Real Madrid’s Dominance: Real Madrid has covered the -1.5 Asian Handicap in 9 of their last 20 games and have an excellent away record against Las Palmas, remaining undefeated in their last 4 visits.
- Goals Expected: The average goals per game in the last six meetings between these two teams is 3.5, indicating a potential for goals in this match.
Team Form and Performance
Las Palmas (Last 10 League Games):
- Form: 6 losses, 4 draws.
- Goals: Averaging 0.7 goals per game with 57.8% possession.
- Defensive Record: Conceding 1.8 goals per game on average.
Real Madrid (Last 10 League Games):
- Form: 7 wins, 3 draws.
- Goals: Averaging 2.5 goals per game with 59.4% possession.
- Defensive Record: Conceding only 0.7 goals per game.
Head-to-Head Records
- Last 5 Meetings: Real Madrid has won 4, and there was 1 draw.
- Recent Dominance: Real Madrid has won the last four matches against Las Palmas, with the most recent being a 2-1 victory away.
Player Form and Availability
- Las Palmas: Sandro Ramirez remains a key player, having scored in their recent loss. However, their overall goal-scoring ability remains limited.
- Real Madrid: Fede Valverde has been in excellent form, providing creativity and goals. Real Madrid will be without Jude Bellingham due to injury, but the squad depth is more than capable of filling the gap.
Predicted Lineup
Las Palmas (4-2-3-1):
- Cillessen (GK)
- Alex Suarez, McKenna, Marmol, Munoz
- Loiodice, Rodriguez
- Park, Javier Munoz, Moleiro
- Mata
Real Madrid (4-2-3-1):
- Courtois (GK)
- Carvajal, Militao, Rudiger, Mendy
- Valverde, Tchouameni
- Rodrygo, Arda Guler, Vinicius Junior
- Mbappe
Market Analysis (Odds)
- Real Madrid Win: 1.33 (77% implied probability)
- Draw: 5.25 (19% implied probability)
- Las Palmas Win: 8.50 (12% implied probability)
- Asian Handicap: Real Madrid -1.5 at +107 offers value given their dominant form.
- Over/Under 2.5 Goals: Likely to be over, considering the historical goal average in this matchup.
Predictions
- Final Score Prediction: Real Madrid 2-0 Las Palmas
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Best Bets:
- Real Madrid -1.5 Asian Handicap at +107, as Real Madrid should win comfortably.
- Under 3.5 Goals as a secondary option, given the likelihood of a controlled performance by Real Madrid.