La Liga : Girona vs Osasuna match preview, odds and game prediction

Girona hosts Osasuna in what promises to be an intriguing La Liga clash. Girona, coming off a 3-0 defeat to Atletico Madrid, will look to bounce back at home where they’ve been formidable. Osasuna, meanwhile, secured a narrow 1-0 victory over Mallorca and will aim to continue their unbeaten run. This matchup has been favorable to Girona in recent meetings, but Osasuna’s resilience makes them a tough opponent.

Key Stats & Insights

  • Girona’s Home Form: Girona has covered the Over 2.5 goals line in 4 of their last 5 home games, showcasing their attacking prowess.
  • Osasuna’s Away Form: Osasuna has seen Over 2.5 goals in all of their last 5 away games, indicating a likelihood of goals in this encounter.
  • Recent H2H: Girona has won the last two encounters against Osasuna, including a 2-0 victory in their last meeting.

Team Form and Performance

Girona (Last 10 League Games):

  • Form: 5 wins, 3 losses, 2 draws.
  • Goals: Averaging 2.4 goals per game with 57.7% possession.
  • Top Scorer: Artem Dovbyk with 8 goals.
  • Defensive Record: Conceding 1.4 goals per game.

Osasuna (Last 10 League Games):

  • Form: 2 wins, 4 losses, 4 draws.
  • Goals: Averaging 1.1 goals per game with 48.4% possession.
  • Top Scorer: Raul Garcia with 3 goals.
  • Defensive Record: Conceding 1.4 goals per game.

Head-to-Head Records

  • Last 5 Meetings: Girona has won 3, Osasuna 1, and 1 draw.
  • Recent Dominance: Girona has won the last two matches, including a 2-0 victory at home.

Player Form and Availability

  • Girona: Key players like Artem Dovbyk (8 goals) and Viktor Tsigankov (3 assists) are in good form. However, they will miss the influence of recent departures such as Savio.
  • Osasuna: Ruben Garcia has been crucial, scoring the winning goal in their last game. They will miss Kike Barja and Iker Muรฑoz due to injuries.

Predicted Lineup

Girona (4-3-3):

  • Gazzaniga (GK)
  • Arnau Martinez, David Lopez, Daley Blind, Miguel Gutierrez
  • Ivan Martin, Oriol Romeu, Yangel Herrera
  • Cristian Portu, Abel Ruiz, Bryan Gil

Osasuna (4-2-3-1):

  • Herrera (GK)
  • Areso, Catena, Herrando, Bretones
  • Moncayola, Torro
  • Ruben Garcia, Oroz, Bryan Zaragoza
  • Ante Budimir

Market Analysis (Odds)

  • Girona Win: 1.67 (60% implied probability)
  • Draw: 4.00 (25% implied probability)
  • Osasuna Win: 4.60 (21.7% implied probability)
  • Over 2.5 Goals: Odds are -125, with a calculated probability of 60-65% for this outcome.

Predictions

  • Final Score Prediction: Girona 2-1 Osasuna
  • Best Bets:
    • Over 2.5 Goals at -125, given both teams’ recent form and scoring trends.
    • Girona to Win at 1.67, considering their home advantage and recent H2H dominance.