Game Preview: Real Madrid vs Alavés
Real Madrid plays Deportivo Alavés in this match in Spanish La Liga: Madrid continues to demonstrate good results. After the imposing 4-1 win against Espanyol and a comfortable Champions League win, Real Madrid, with coach Carlo Ancelotti, has not lost a single home game, leading into it with 35 home games without suffering a defeat. Their defensive organisational form has been impressive, they have only conceded three goals all through the season. This strong backline has made further questions marks over Alavés’ attacking prowess, in the unlikely occurrence of both teams scoring, there are odds of -155. Taking into account the generality of Real Madrid’s performance and attack, they are should dictate this match and produce yet another rout.
Key Stats & Insights
– Real Madrid has been home invincible in the last one and half years in La Liga winning nine of the last ten games played in front of their home fans.
– Since the start of the current calendar year only BTTS (Both Teams To Score) has last in the last four away games that Alavés have played.
– Kylian Mbappé scored five goals in the last 4 games in Real Madrid.
– Real Madrid have a good record in having lost to Alavés in the last five successive head to head encounters.
Team Form and Performance
Real Madrid:
Last 10 games: 6 wins, 4 draws.
Average 2.6 goals per game is achieved.
Top scorer: Vinicius Junior has scored 5 goals, Mbappé and Arda Guler scored 4 goals each.
Alavés:
Last 10 games: 4 wins, 3 losses, 3 draws.
Scoring an average of 1.3 goals per game with Carlos Vicente as their main offence who has scores 4 goals.
Head-to-Head Records
In the last matches these sides has had, Real Madrid has a better score 8 of 9. The last match which took place was emerged to be Madrid’s victory with 5-0. Alavés seems unable to create a threat in Madrid and in majority of their games, they currently suffer embarrassing humiliating defeats.
Player Form and Availability
For today’s match Real Madrid will miss out on their regular players David Alaba, Eduardo Camavinga, and Dani Ceballos due to injuries. But several of them are absent from the team list such as Vinicius Junior and Mbappé who have been doing great for Madrid in the attacking line. The young Brazilian Endrick has also been great, he recently scored important goals in the injury time.
However, Alavés have presented of some sort of an attacking presence particularly in the last six matches, where the team has managed to score nine goals. But the form has not been all that great, and specialists opine that playing Real Madrid at the Bernabeu will not be easy at all. While they are well capable of scoring goals, penetrating Real Madrid’s well set defense may not be easy come this fixture.
Predicted Lineups
Real Madrid: Courtois; Vazquez, Rudiger, Militao, Mendy; Valverde, Tchouameni, Bellingham; Rodrygo, Vinicius Junior, Endrick.
Alavés: Sivera; Novoa, Mourino, Abqar, Diarra; Blanco, Guevara; Romero, Conechny, Guridi; Kike Garcia.
Market Analysis (Odds)
Real Madrid: 1.20 (83.3% win probability)
Draw: 6.50 (15.4%)
Alavés: 12.00 (8.3%)
In Spain, Real Madrid is greatly favored, however, at an odd of -500, the straight bet offer no good value. If you want higher returns then there are other markets out there. Another good favourite choice is the Asian Handicap -2 at +104, in which Madrid is believed to be too superior and can easily win and win this line. One more good bet is Vinícius Júnior to have 2 or more shots on target available at -108—remarkably good odds for the goalscoring midfielder. Similarly, taking each of the two teams to have a barren run can be of more relevance given that Madrid has been precisely so strong on their defense line along a factor of their authority being dominant at home ground.
Predictions
Correct Score: Real Madrid 3-1 Alavés.
Betting Tip: Real Madrid -2 Asian Handicap @ +104 that to me indicates it will be a close game since Madrid is giving 2 goals in Asia.
Value Bet: Bet on Real Madrid to win at 3-0 at long odds of 650 to break the hosts’ defence and bring home victory.