Key Stats & Insights
- Athletic Bilbao have lost only once in their last 19 league games at San Mamés.
- Athletic Bilbao are unbeaten in their last 10 home matches, with 6 wins.
- Getafe are currently on a 5-game losing streak.
- Getafe have lost 11 of their last 20 matches.
Game Preview
Athletic Bilbao: Athletic Bilbao are facing a goalkeeper dilemma, with both Unai Simón and Julen Agirrezabala carrying injuries, potentially giving third-choice keeper Álex Padilla a chance to start. Star winger Nico Williams, who was pivotal in their last La Liga win against Rayo Vallecano, may not start as he has just returned to training. In that match, Bilbao secured a 1-0 victory despite limited possession (37%) and only one shot on target.
Getafe: Getafe are struggling offensively, especially with their top scorer from last season, Borja Mayoral, still an injury doubt. They may rely on Carles Pérez, traditionally a winger, to lead the attack. In their last match, Getafe lost 2-1 at home to Mallorca, despite having 51% possession and six shots on target.
Team Form and Performance
Athletic Bilbao – Last 10 League Games: Athletic Bilbao have a mixed record with 4 wins, 3 losses, and 3 draws. They average 1.3 goals per game and maintain 51.9% possession. Their defense has been relatively solid, conceding just 1.1 goals per game. Gorka Guruzeta and Iñaki Williams have been their top performers, scoring 3 goals each, while Nico Williams leads in assists with 4.
Getafe – Last 10 League Games: Getafe’s form is poor, with only 2 wins in their last 10 matches, along with 6 defeats and 2 draws. They have struggled to score, averaging just 0.6 goals per game. Mason Greenwood has been their most effective player recently, contributing 2 goals. Defensively, they concede an average of 1.2 goals per game.
Head-to-Head Records
Historically, these two teams have played to a draw frequently, with 5 of their last 6 meetings ending level. The last encounter, however, saw Athletic Bilbao claim a 2-0 victory away at Getafe, with Iñaki Williams scoring both goals. Overall, Bilbao have outscored Getafe 7-5 in their recent clashes.
Player Form and Availability
- Athletic Bilbao: Expected lineup includes Padilla (GK), Yuri, Yeray, Paredes, Gorosabel, Prados, Vesga, Berenguer, Sancet, Iñaki Williams, and Guruzeta.
- Getafe: Likely starting XI features Soria (GK), Rico, Alderete, Djené, Iglesias, Peter, Arambarri, Milla, Uche, Sola, and Pérez.
Market Analysis (Odds)
- Athletic Bilbao: Heavy favorites with odds of -208, reflecting a 68% chance of victory.
- Getafe: Underdogs at +700.
- Total Goals Market: Under 2.5 goals is favored, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) No priced at -188.
- Handicap Market: Betting on Athletic Bilbao to win by at least two goals (Asian Handicap -1.5) offers value at +137.5.
Predictions
Athletic Bilbao are likely to dominate this match, especially given Getafe’s current struggles. Despite the possibility of Getafe scoring, Bilbao should secure a comfortable victory. The predicted scoreline is 3-1 in favor of Athletic Bilbao.
Betting Recommendation: Back Athletic Bilbao to cover the -1.5 goal handicap at odds of +137.5, predicting a victory by two or more goals.