Key Stats & Insights
- Two of the Netherlands’ three fixtures in Group D featured at least three goals.
- Both Romania and the Netherlands scored four times across three group stage matches.
- This is Romania’s first knockout-stage match at a major tournament since Euro 2000.
Game Preview
Romania: Romania returns to the knockout stage of a major tournament for the first time since Euro 2000. The Tricolorii have a historical knockout win, beating Argentina 3-2 in the 1994 World Cup last 16. However, left-back Nicusor Bancu will miss the game due to suspension, with Dennis Man and Valentin Mihaila likely pushing to return to the starting lineup.
Netherlands: The Netherlands had a challenging group stage, coming from behind to beat Poland 2-1, drawing 0-0 with France, and losing 3-2 to Austria. Despite finishing top of their group, they led for the shortest time among all teams to qualify for the knockout stage. The Dutch are determined to find consistency as they face Romania.
Team Form and Performance
Romania – Last 10 Competitive Games:
- Wins: 5
- Losses: 1
- Draws: 4
- Goals Scored: 1.6 per game
- Shots on Goal: 5.1 per game
- Possession: 48.7%
- Goals Conceded: 0.7 per game
- Key Players: Razvan Marin, Nicolae Stanciu, Valentin Mihaila (3 goals each), Denis Alibec (2 goals), Olimpiu Morutan (3 assists)
Netherlands – Last 10 Competitive Games:
- Wins: 6
- Losses: 3
- Draws: 1
- Goals Scored: 2.0 per game
- Shots on Goal: 5.0 per game
- Possession: 54.5%
- Goals Conceded: 1.0 per game
- Key Players: Cody Gakpo (5 goals), Wout Weghorst (4 goals), Calvin Stengs (3 goals), Denzel Dumfries (3 assists)
Head-to-Head Records
The last meeting between these teams was in November 2017, where the Netherlands won 3-0. In the past three encounters, the Netherlands scored 11 goals, while Romania managed only 1. The historical record favors the Dutch, who have consistently outperformed Romania in previous matches.
Possible Player Form and Availability
Romania Likely Lineup (4-2-3-1):
- Goalkeeper: Florin Nita
- Defenders: Andrei Ratiu, Radu Dragusin, Andrei Burca, Nicusor Bancu (suspended)
- Midfielders: Ianis Hagi, Nicolae Stanciu, Razvan Marin, Marius Marin
- Forwards: Florinel Coman, Denis Dragus
Netherlands Likely Lineup (4-3-3):
- Goalkeeper: Bart Verbruggen
- Defenders: Lutsharel Geertruida, Stefan De Vrij, Virgil Van Dijk, Nathan Ake
- Midfielders: Tijani Reijnders, Jerdy Schouten, Joey Veerman
- Forwards: Memphis Depay, Donyell Malen, Cody Gakpo
Market Analysis (Odds)
- Netherlands win probability: 70% (odds: 1.42)
- Romania win probability: 12.5% (odds: 8.00)
- Draw: Alternative option available
The Over/Under 2.5 Goals market is evenly priced, and the Both Teams to Score (BTTS) No option is at 1.73. Romania to win is 5.50 on the Draw No Bet market, with Netherlands at 1.14.
Predictions
The Netherlands is expected to dominate, creating enough opportunities to secure a victory. Romania might struggle to score against a solid Dutch defense.
Prediction: Netherlands to win 2-0.
Betting Tip: Back Netherlands at 2.20 on the Asian Handicap market with a -1.5 goal margin.