Euro Cup 2024: Georgia vs Portugal Match Preview, Odds, and Game Prediction

Key Stats & Insights

  • Three of Portugal’s last five outings have ended with both teams scoring.
  • Two of Georgia’s last three matches have witnessed over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams have scored in each of Georgia’s opening two group games.
  • Georgia have conceded 2 or more goals in 5 of their last 10 matches.
  • Portugal have scored 2 or more goals in 4 of their past 5 matches.

Game Preview

Georgia

Georgia has shown resilience in recent matches, losing only two of their last nine games after a tough period between June and September 2023. Georges Mikautadze has made history by scoring Georgiaโ€™s first two goals at the Euros, showcasing the potential within their squad. Despite their efforts, Georgia struggled against Turkey and the Czech Republic, failing to secure wins and demonstrating a need for improved offensive quality against stronger teams like Portugal.

Portugal

Portugal secured their spot in the knockout rounds with a commanding 3-0 victory over Turkey, allowing Roberto Martinez the option to rest key players against Georgia. Cristiano Ronaldo, at 39 years old, continues to make history and is on the brink of becoming the first European player to make 50 major tournament appearances. Despite criticism, Ronaldo has contributed significantly, providing key assists and maintaining Portugal’s high-scoring record. Portugal is the second-highest scoring team at Euro 2024 with five goals, benefiting from an own goal in both of their games.

Team Form and Performance

Georgia โ€“ Last 10 Competitive Games

  • Record: 3 wins, 5 losses, 2 draws
  • Goals: 1.7 goals per game from 2.9 shots on goal and 8.3 attempts
  • Possession: 44.4%
  • Corners: 2.6 per match
  • Top Performers: Khvicha Kvaratskhelia (4 goals), Georges Mikautadze, Budu Zivzivadze (3 goals each), Giorgi Chakvetadze (3 assists), Giorgi Mamardashvili (2 clean sheets)

Portugal โ€“ Last 10 Competitive Games

  • Record: 8 wins, 1 defeat, 1 draw
  • Goals: 3.1 goals per game from 7.4 shots on goal and 16.1 attempts
  • Possession: 64.6%
  • Corners: 7.2 per match
  • Top Performers: Bruno Fernandes (7 goals), Cristiano Ronaldo (6 goals), Goncalo Ramos (3 goals), Bruno Fernandes (7 assists), Diogo Costa and Jose Sa (3 clean sheets)

Head-to-Head Records

Georgia and Portugal have met only once before, in 2008, with Portugal securing a 2-0 victory. Both Pepe and Cristiano Ronaldo started that game.

Possible Player Form and Availability

Georgia Likely Lineup (3-5-2):

  • Goalkeeper: Giorgi Mamardashvili
  • Defenders: Lasha Dvali, Guram Kashia, Saba Kverkvelia, Otar Kakabadze
  • Midfielders: Georgiy Tsitaishvili, Anzor Mekvabishvili, Giorgi Kochorashvili
  • Forwards: Zuriko Davitashvili, Khvicha Kvaratskhelia, Georges Mikautadze

Portugal Likely Lineup (4-2-3-1):

  • Goalkeeper: Diogo Costa
  • Defenders: Joao Cancelo, Pepe, Ruben Dias, Nuno Mendes
  • Midfielders: Bruno Fernandes, Joao Palhinha, Vitinha, Bernardo Silva
  • Forwards: Cristiano Ronaldo, Rafael Leao

Market Analysis (Odds)

  • Portugal Win: 1.42 (70% chance)
  • Georgia Win: 8.00
  • Draw: 4.50

Over 2.5 Goals is favored, indicating a high-scoring match. Both Teams to Score is evenly matched in terms of odds.

Predictions

Georgia has shown they can score, but Portugal’s depth and quality will likely prove too much for them. With Portugal’s potent attack and Georgia’s defensive vulnerabilities, a high-scoring match is expected.

Prediction: Georgia 1-3 Portugal

Betting Tip: Portugal to win with a -1.5 goal margin at odds of 2.10 on the Asian Handicap market.