Game Preview
France
France will look to capitalize on their solid form as they face Poland in their final group stage match. After a goalless draw against the Netherlands, where they had 58% possession, France aims to secure their place in the last 16. Kylian Mbappé’s return is highly anticipated, as his presence adds a significant threat to the French attack. France’s defensive strength is noteworthy, with four consecutive clean sheets and a run of 367 minutes without conceding a goal. The French side is favored with a 73.3% probability of winning this match.
Poland
Poland, on the other hand, is struggling, having lost their opening two group games at Euro 2024. Their recent 3-1 defeat to Austria highlighted their defensive vulnerabilities. Despite a promising start, Poland failed to sustain their performance throughout the match. With their elimination from the tournament looming, Poland will aim to restore some pride in this fixture. Historically, Poland has struggled in final group stage matches, winning only once in their previous four European Championship appearances.
Key Stats & Insights
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France:
- Recent Form: 8 wins and 2 draws in the last 10 competitive games.
- Possession: Average of 59.7%.
- Defensive Record: 4 consecutive clean sheets.
- Top Scorer: Kylian Mbappé with 9 goals.
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Poland:
- Recent Form: 4 wins, 4 losses, and 2 draws in the last 10 competitive games.
- Possession: Average of 58.0%.
- Defensive Record: Conceded 1.7 goals per game.
- Top Scorer: Robert Lewandowski with 3 goals.
Team Form and Performance
France – Last 10 Competitive Games:
- Wins: 8
- Draws: 2
- Goals Scored: 3.0 per game
- Possession: 59.7%
- Top Performers: Kylian Mbappé (9 goals), Olivier Giroud (3 goals)
Poland – Last 10 Competitive Games:
- Wins: 4
- Draws: 2
- Losses: 4
- Goals Scored: 2.0 per game
- Possession: 58.0%
- Top Performers: Robert Lewandowski (3 goals), Piotr Zielinski (3 assists)
Head-to-Head Records
France and Poland last met on December 4, 2022, with France winning 3-1. Historically, France has had the upper hand, winning two out of the last three encounters. This will be their third meeting in a major tournament, and the first at the European Championship. Poland’s only victory in these fixtures came in the 1982 FIFA World Cup third place play-off.
Possible Player Form and Availability
France:
- Goalkeeper: Mike Maignan
- Defenders: Jules Kounde, William Saliba, Dayot Upamecano, Theo Hernandez
- Midfielders: Aurelien Tchouameni, N’Golo Kante, Adrien Rabiot, Antoine Griezmann
- Forwards: Ousmane Dembele, Kylian Mbappé
Poland:
- Goalkeeper: Wojciech Szczesny
- Defenders: Jan Bednarek, Jakub Kiwior
- Midfielders: Pawel Dawidowicz, Przemyslaw Frankowski, Jakub Piotrowski, Bartosz Slisz, Nicola Zalewski, Piotr Zielinski
- Forwards: Adam Buksa, Krzysztof Piatek
Market Analysis (Odds)
- France Win: 1.29
- Poland Win: 10.00
- Over 2.5 Goals: Shorter price than Under 2.5 Goals
- Both Teams to Score No: 1.73
Predictions
France 1 – Poland 0
France’s strong defense and Poland’s recent struggles suggest a narrow win for France. With their solid defensive record and Mbappé’s potential return, France is likely to maintain their clean sheet streak and secure a win.