Copa America 2024: Canada vs. Uruguay Match Preview, Odds, and Prediction

Key Stats & Insights

  • Uruguay are strong favorites to secure third place.
  • Uruguay won their last meeting with Canada by 2 goals.
  • Uruguay has a superior recent competitive record compared to Canada.

Game Preview

Jesse Marsch hopes Canadaโ€™s impressive Copa America debut changes the trajectory of football in the country as they aim for a bronze medal against Uruguay. This tournament marks Canada’s first appearance, highlighted by a memorable penalty shoot-out victory over Venezuela in the quarter-finals and a semi-final match against Argentina.

Canada lost 2-0 to Argentina in their semi-final at MetLife Stadium, managing two shots on target and 49% possession. Previously, Canada defeated Venezuela 5-4 on penalties after a 1-1 draw.

Uruguay also had a challenging semi-final, losing 1-0 to Colombia despite controlling 73% possession and being a man up after Daniel Muรฑoz was sent off. In the quarter-finals, Uruguay overcame Brazil in a 4-2 penalty shoot-out after a goalless draw.

Team Form and Performance

Canada โ€“ Last 10 Competitive Games

  • Wins: 2
  • Losses: 4
  • Draws: 4
  • Goals Scored: 1.7 per game
  • Shots on Goal: 3.5 per game
  • Possession: 50.4%
  • Passes: 418.4 per match
  • Corners: 4.0 per match
  • Goals Conceded: 1.9 per game
  • Top Scorers: Jacob Shaffelburg and five others (1 goal each)
  • Top Assists: Junior Hoilett (2 assists)
  • Clean Sheets: Maxime Crepeau (2)

Uruguay โ€“ Last 10 Competitive Games

  • Wins: 6
  • Losses: 2
  • Draws: 2
  • Goals Scored: 2.3 per game
  • Shots on Goal: 3.9 per game
  • Possession: 51.2%
  • Passes: 396.6 per match
  • Corners: 4.0 per match
  • Goals Conceded: 0.8 per game
  • Top Scorer: Darwin Nunez (7 goals)
  • Top Assists: Nicolas de la Cruz (4 assists)
  • Clean Sheets: Sergio Rochet (2)

Head-to-Head Records

  • Last Meeting: 27.09.2022, Uruguay won 2-0 against Canada.

Player Form and Availability

Canada

  • Formation: Likely 4-4-2
  • Forwards: Jacob Shaffelburg, Cyle Larin, Jonathan David
  • Midfielders: Stephen Eustaquio, Ismael Kone
  • Defenders: Alistair Johnston, Derek Cornelius, Moise Bombito, Alphonso Davies, Richie Laryea
  • Goalkeeper: Maxime Crepeau

Uruguay

  • Formation: Likely 4-3-3
  • Goalkeeper: Sergio Rochet
  • Defenders: Mathias Olivera, Jose Maria Gimenez, Sebastian Caceres
  • Midfielders: Federico Valverde, Manuel Ugarte, Nicolas De La Cruz, Rodrigo Bentancur
  • Forwards: Facundo Pellistri, Maximiliano Araujo, Darwin Nunez

Market Analysis (Odds)

  • Uruguay Win: 1.55 (65% probability)
  • Canada Win: 6.00
  • Over/Under 2.5 Goals: Even odds
  • Both Teams to Score: Evenly-matched odds

Predictions

Uruguay is expected to secure a substantial victory over Canada. Our betting recommendation is to back Uruguay with a -1.5 goal handicap at odds of 2.38.