Copa America 2024: Venezuela vs Mexico Match Preview, Odds, and Game Prediction

Key Stats & Insights

  • Mexico have scored 2 or more goals in 12 of their last 20 matches.
  • The most common result between Venezuela and Mexico is 1-3, occurring three times.
  • Venezuela haven’t won in their last five games.

Game Preview

Both Venezuela and Mexico are vying for a spot in the quarterfinals of the tournament with a victory on Wednesday. This marks Mexico’s first Copa America appearance since 2016, where they faced Venezuela in the group stage, drawing 1-1, with both teams advancing to the quarterfinals.

Venezuela has already improved on their 2021 Copa America performance by winning their opening match against Ecuador 2-1, with goals from Jhonder Cadiz and Eduard Bello. They had a solid offensive display with five shots on target and five corners.

Mexico began their campaign with a 1-0 victory over Jamaica, thanks to a goal from Gerardo Arteaga. They were dominant, registering nine shots on target.

Team Form and Performance

Venezuela โ€“ Last 10 Competitive Games

Venezuela’s recent form has been mixed, with 3 wins, 4 losses, and 3 draws. They average 0.9 goals from 3.4 shots on target and 7.9 attempts per match. Their possession rate stands at 46.0%, with 4.1 corners per game. Defensively, they concede 1.2 goals and 3.9 corners from 4.9 shots on target and 11.0 attempts.

  • Top Scorers: Eduard Bello and Jose Salomon Rondon (2 goals each)
  • Top Assists: Jose Salomon Rondon, Darwin Machis, and Jose Andres Martinez (1 assist each)

Mexico โ€“ Last 10 Competitive Games

Mexico has been more consistent with 7 wins, 2 losses, and 1 draw. They average 1.6 goals from 14.4 attempts and 6.6 shots on target. They maintain 57.4% possession and earn 5.8 corners while conceding 0.5 goals from 6.6 attempts and 2.1 shots on target.

  • Top Scorers: Henry Martin and Luis Chavez (3 goals each)
  • Top Assists: Jesus Gallardo and Uriel Antuna (2 assists each)
  • Clean Sheets: Guillermo Ochoa (1 clean sheet)

Head-to-Head Records

The last encounter between these teams was in June 2019, where Mexico triumphed 3-1. Historically, Mexico has dominated Venezuela, winning two of their last three meetings and scoring seven goals compared to Venezuela’s three.

Possible Player Form and Availability

Venezuela Likely Lineup (4-3-3):

  • Goalkeeper: Rafael Romo
  • Defenders: Alexander Gonzalez, Nahuel Ferraresi, Yordan Osorio, Miguel Navarro
  • Midfielders: Jose Andres Martinez, Yangel Herrera, Cristian Casseres Jr, Darwin Machis, Yeferson Soteldo
  • Forwards: Salomon Rondon

Mexico Likely Lineup (4-3-3):

  • Goalkeeper: Julio Gonzalez
  • Defenders: Jorge Sanchez, Cesar Montes, Johan Vasquez, Gerardo Arteaga
  • Midfielders: Luis Chavez, Orbelin Pineda, Edson Alvarez
  • Forwards: Uriel Antuna, Julian Quinones, Santiago Gimenez

Market Analysis (Odds)

  • Mexico Win: 2.15 (47% chance)
  • Venezuela Win: 3.50
  • Under 2.5 Goals: Shortest odds
  • Both Teams to Score No: 1.80

Predictions

Predicted Score: Venezuela 1 – Mexico 1

Venezuela’s recent form suggests they struggle to score multiple goals, even when having a numerical advantage, as seen against Ecuador. Mexico, although dominant against Jamaica, have not been consistent with back-to-back wins in their last ten games. The loss of Mexico’s captain, Edson Alvarez, may impact their performance, leading to a likely draw.

Betting Tip: A total of two goals or fewer in the match, trading at 1.80, seems probable.