Copa America 2024: Venezuela vs Canada Match Preview, Odds, and Game Prediction

Key Stats & Insights

  • Venezuela: Recently drew 1-1 with Brazil.
  • Canada: Won 9 of their last 10 matches.
  • Previous Results: Canada won their last game 3-1 against Bolivia with six shots on target.

Team Form and Performance

Venezuela: WWWWWD

Venezuela enters this match after a 1-1 draw with Brazil. In that game, Venezuela had 49% possession and 13 shots on goal, with 6 on target. Daniel Muñoz scored for Venezuela. Brazil had 7 attempts with 3 on target, and Raphinha scored for Brazil.

In their last six games, Venezuela has seen a total of three or more goals per game in five of those matches, with opposing teams scoring five goals in this period, while Venezuela managed to net 17 goals.

Canada: WWLLWW

Canada heads into this match following a 3-1 win against Bolivia in their last fixture. Canada had 49% possession and 13 shots on goal, with 6 on target. José Fajardo, Eduardo Guerrero, and César Yanis scored for Canada. Bolivia had 7 shots with 4 on target, and Bruno Miranda scored for them.

Canada has been defensively vulnerable, conceding seven goals in their last six games. However, their attack has been potent, and they will look to exploit Venezuela’s defense in this match.

Head-to-Head Records

The last time these two teams met was on June 3, 2019, with Colombia emerging victorious with a 3-0 win over Panama. In their previous three encounters, Colombia scored a total of 5 goals, while Panama scored 4.

Player Form and Availability

Venezuela Expected Lineup:

  • Goalkeeper: Camilo Vargas
  • Defenders: Daniel Muñoz, Davinson Sanchez, Carlos Cuesta, Deiver Machado
  • Midfielders: Jefferson Lerma, James Rodriguez, Richard Rios
  • Forwards: Jhon Arias, Luis Diaz, Jhon Cordoba

Canada Expected Lineup:

  • Goalkeeper: Orlando Mosquera
  • Defenders: Michael Murillo, Jose Cordoba, Edgardo Farina, Eric Davis, Cesar Blackman
  • Midfielders: Carlos Harvey, Jovani Welch, Cristian Martinez, Edgar Barcenas
  • Forward: Jose Fajardo

Market Analysis (Odds)

  • Colombia: Strong favorites with odds of 1.30, giving them a 77% chance of victory.
  • Panama: Underdogs with odds of 11.00.
  • Over/Under 2.5 Goals: Even odds suggest a balanced expectation between a high or low-scoring game.
  • BTTS (Both Teams to Score) No: Odds of 1.53 suggest a likely one-sided affair.
  • Draw No Bet: Colombia at 1.07, Panama at 9.00.

Predictions

Predicted Score: Colombia 2 – 0 Panama

Analysis:

  • Colombia: Unbeaten in their last 26 matches, including a recent draw with Brazil.
  • Panama: Inconsistent with four losses in their last 10 matches, struggling defensively.
  • Injuries/Suspensions: Key players missing include Jefferson Lerma for Colombia and Alberto Carrasquilla for Panama.

With star players like Luis Diaz and James Rodriguez leading the attack, Colombia’s form and depth will likely be too much for Panama. The prediction leans towards a solid Colombia win, possibly by two or more goals.

Betting Tip: Colombia to win with a -1.5 goal handicap at odds of 2.04.