Key Stats & Insights
- Brazil have won their last four games against Paraguay, all with clean sheets.
- Paraguay have lost three of their last five matches across all competitions.
- The most common result between Paraguay and Brazil is 0-0, occurring three times.
Game Preview
Paraguay
Paraguay lost their opening group game 2-1 to Colombia at NRG Stadium, managing three shots on target with 32% possession. Despite their recent struggles, Paraguay have a strong Copa America record against Brazil, remaining unbeaten in their last five matches in the tournament (1 win, 4 draws).
However, Paraguay have only one win in their last six games across all competitions (1 win, 2 draws, 3 losses), putting them in a challenging position against Brazil. Head coach Daniel Garnero remains optimistic, emphasizing the positives from their performance against Colombia.
Brazil
Brazil were held to a surprising goalless draw by Costa Rica in their opening match, despite dominating with 49 entries into the penalty area. They need to improve their finishing to secure their first win in this Copa America edition. Brazil’s attacking stars, Vinícius Júnior and Rodrygo, will be crucial in breaking down Paraguay’s defense.
Team Form and Performance
Paraguay – Last 10 Competitive Games
- Wins: 2
- Losses: 6
- Draws: 2
- Goals Scored: 0.5 per match
- Attempts on Goal: 9.5 per match
- Shots on Target: 3.2 per match
- Possession: 43%
- Corners Earned: 3.8 per match
- Goals Conceded: 1.2 per match
- Top Scorers: Julio Enciso, Antonio Sanabria, Robert Morales, Miguel Almiron (1 goal each)
Brazil – Last 10 Competitive Games
- Wins: 3
- Losses: 5
- Draws: 2
- Goals Scored: 1.5 per match
- Attempts on Goal: 13.0 per match
- Shots on Target: 5.8 per match
- Possession: 61.5%
- Corners Earned: 6.3 per match
- Goals Conceded: 1.4 per match
- Top Scorer: Neymar (4 goals)
Head-to-Head Records
- Last 6 Meetings: Brazil 3 wins, 3 draws
- Goals: Brazil 12, Paraguay 3
- Last Match: Brazil 4-0 Paraguay (WC Qualifiers, 02/02/2022)
Player Form and Availability
Paraguay Likely Lineup:
- Formation: 4-3-3
- Forwards: Julio Enciso, Alex Arce
- Midfielders: Hernesto Caballero, Mathias Villasanti, Andres Cubas, Miguel Almiron
- Defenders: Gustavo Velazquez, Omar Alderete, Fabian Balbuena, Matias Espinoza
- Goalkeeper: Rodrigo Morinigo
Brazil Likely Lineup:
- Formation: 4-3-3
- Forwards: Vinícius Júnior, Rodrygo, Raphinha
- Midfielders: Bruno Guimaraes, Joao Gomes, Lucas Paqueta
- Defenders: Danilo, Marquinhos, Eder Militao, Guilherme Arana
- Goalkeeper: Alisson
Market Analysis (Odds)
- Brazil to Win: 1.33 (75% implied probability)
- Paraguay to Win: 11.00
- Over/Under 2.5 Goals: Even odds
- Both Teams to Score: No at 1.57
Predictions
Brazil is expected to dominate and score at least once, while Paraguay may struggle offensively. The predicted outcome is a comfortable 2-0 victory for Brazil. Considering Paraguay’s defensive approach, betting on Under 2.5 Goals at 2.00 is a reasonable choice.