Game Preview
Brazil
Brazil enters Copa America 2024 with high hopes of claiming their 10th title. Endrick, a rising star who will soon join Real Madrid, has been instrumental, scoring three goals in his last four matches. Brazil’s recent form includes a win over England, a draw with Spain, a victory over Mexico, and a draw with the USA. Head coach Dorival Júnior aims to surpass their runner-up finish in 2021, with group matches against Paraguay and Colombia ahead.
Costa Rica
Costa Rica, led by Gustavo Alfaro, who previously guided Ecuador to the Copa America quarter-finals, are optimistic despite their recent group stage exits in 2016 and 2021. Costa Rica has shown strong recent form, winning four out of six matches and maintaining clean sheets in their last three competitive games. They aim to break their group stage curse from the last two tournaments.
Key Stats & Insights
- Brazil’s last game ended in a 1-1 draw with the USA.
- Costa Rica has only lost once in their last four Copa America matches against CONMEBOL teams (W2 D1).
- The most common result in matches between Brazil and Costa Rica is 1-0, occurring three times.
- Brazil has not kept a clean sheet in five of their last six matches, conceding nine goals.
- Costa Rica won their last match 3-0 against Grenada in World Cup qualifiers.
Team Form and Performance
Brazil: LLWDWD
- Recent results highlight defensive vulnerabilities, with Brazil failing to keep clean sheets in five of their last six matches.
Costa Rica: LWLDWW
- Costa Rica has scored 11 goals in their last six matches but conceded seven, showcasing a balanced but potent attack.
Head-to-Head Records
- The last meeting was in the 2018 World Cup, where Brazil won 2-0.
- Brazil has won the last three matches against Costa Rica, scoring four goals and conceding none.
Player Form and Availability
Brazil (Predicted Lineup): Alisson Becker, Danilo, Eder Militao, Marquinhos, Wendell, Bruno Guimaraes, Douglas Luiz, Raphinha, Lucas Paqueta, Rodrygo, Vinicius Junior.
Costa Rica (Predicted Lineup): Patrick Sequeira, Julio Cascante, Juan Pablo Vargas, Francisco Calvo, Haxzel Quiros, Orlando Galo, Brandon Aguilera, Joseph Mora, Joel Campbell, Manfred Ugalde, Alvaro Zamora.
Market Analysis (Odds)
- Brazil is a strong favorite at 1.13 odds, indicating an 89% chance of winning.
- Costa Rica’s odds are at 15.00, reflecting a lower probability of victory.
- Over 2.5 Goals is favored, suggesting a high-scoring game.
- Both Teams to Score No is priced at 1.50.
- Brazil’s Draw No Bet is at 1.04, and Costa Rica’s is at 13.00.
Predictions
Brazil is likely to dominate but Costa Rica could pose a threat. A narrow 2-1 win for Brazil is predicted, considering Brazil’s defensive issues and Costa Rica’s scoring potential. Betting on Costa Rica with a +1.5 goal start at 2.85 offers a profitable option if they win, draw, or lose by one goal.