Key Stats & Insights
- Argentina: Advanced to the semi-finals after a 5-3 penalty shootout win against Ecuador. Unbeaten in their last 10 matches at major tournaments since losing to Saudi Arabia in the 2022 World Cup opener.
- Canada: Reached the semi-finals by defeating Venezuela 5-4 on penalties (1-1 after 90 minutes and extra time). Only five goals scored in their last five matches, with two goals scored by Canada.
Game Preview
Canada
Canada faces a daunting task against defending champions Argentina to reach the Copa America final. This match marks their debut in the Copa semi-finals, becoming the fourth CONCACAF team to achieve this feat. Jesse Marsch’s team must overcome the psychological barrier of having lost to Argentina in the group stage.
Defensive adjustments are necessary due to Derek Cornelius’ suspension. Canada’s defense will need to be resilient against Argentina’s potent attack.
Argentina
Argentina comes into this match following a 1-1 draw against Ecuador, eventually winning on penalties. Lionel Scaloni’s squad has consistently found the net in their last six matches, showcasing their offensive prowess.
Injuries are easing for Argentina, with Lisandro Martinez, Nicolas Gonzalez, and Marcos Acuña all returning to fitness. This boost comes at a crucial time as they aim for another Copa America final.
Team Form and Performance
Argentina – Last 10 Competitive Games
- Record: 8 wins, 1 loss, 1 draw
- Goals: 1.8 per game
- Shots on Goal: 5.1 per game
- Possession: 61.7%
- Top Scorer: Lautaro Martinez (4 goals)
- Assists: Angel Di Maria (3 assists)
- Clean Sheets: Emiliano Martinez (3)
Canada – Last 10 Competitive Games
- Record: 2 wins, 4 losses, 4 draws
- Goals: 1.8 per game
- Shots on Goal: 3.5 per game
- Possession: 50.7%
- Top Scorer: Jacob Shaffelburg (1 goal, tied with five others)
- Assists: Junior Hoilett (2 assists)
- Clean Sheets: Maxime Crepeau (2)
Head-to-Head Records
The most recent encounter between these teams was on June 21, 2024, at the Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, where Argentina won 2-0. Historically, Argentina has dominated this matchup, and they will look to continue their winning streak against Canada.
Possible Player Form and Availability
Argentina
- Goalkeeper: Emiliano Martinez
- Defense: Nahuel Molina, Lisandro Martinez, Cristian Romero, Nicolas Tagliafico
- Midfield: Rodrigo De Paul, Alexis Mac Allister, Enzo Fernandez
- Attack: Nicolas Gonzalez, Lautaro Martinez, Lionel Messi
Canada
- Goalkeeper: Maxime Crepeau
- Defenders: Alistair Johnston, Moise Bombito, Derek Cornelius, Alphonso Davies, Richie Laryea
- Midfielders: Jonathan Osorio, Stephen Eustaquio
- Attackers: Jonathan David, Jacob Shaffelburg, Cyle Larin
Market Analysis (Odds)
- Argentina: 1.36 (73% chance of winning)
- Canada: 9.00
- Draw: 5.00
- Over/Under 2.5 Goals: Close call
- Both Teams to Score (No): 1.44
A vast array of betting markets are available for this Copa America match, providing numerous options for pre-match and in-play betting.
Predictions
Argentina 3-way Handicap (-1)
Argentina’s formidable form, combined with Canada’s struggle to score, makes them heavy favorites. Argentina has lost just once in their last 18 matches, winning 16 of them and conceding only five goals. Canada, on the other hand, has won just once in their last six games after 90 minutes.
Given Argentina’s defensive solidity and Canada’s scoring difficulties, a 3-way handicap (-1) favoring Argentina seems a prudent bet. Argentina is expected to dominate and secure a comfortable victory, advancing to the final.