Wolfsburg will face off against Bayern Munich in an exciting Bundesliga clash at the Volkswagen Arena. Both teams are eager to bounce back after mixed starts to their campaigns. Wolfsburg, who were defeated in their last home game, will be looking to exploit Bayern’s recent inconsistencies. Meanwhile, Bayern Munich, despite a loss in their last outing, remain favorites due to their historical dominance over Wolfsburg and their superior squad depth.
Key Stats & Insights
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Wolfsburg:
- Recent Form: 4 wins and 6 losses in their last 10 Bundesliga matches.
- Goals: Averaging 1.1 goals per game with 49.9% possession.
- Defensive Record: Conceding 1.7 goals per match, with 3 clean sheets in the last 10 games.
- Top Scorers: Jonas Wind, Patrick Wimmer, and Maxence Lacroix, each with 2 goals.
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Bayern Munich:
- Recent Form: 6 wins and 4 losses in their last 10 Bundesliga matches.
- Goals: Averaging 2.9 goals per game, showcasing their attacking prowess.
- Defensive Record: Conceding 1.7 goals per match, with Manuel Neuer managing 1 clean sheet in the last 10 games.
- Top Scorers: Harry Kane with 9 goals, followed by Leon Goretzka and Thomas Müller with 4 each.
Team Form and Performance
- Wolfsburg have had a mixed run of form recently, struggling to maintain consistency. They have shown resilience in some matches but have often been let down by defensive lapses. Despite this, their attack has potential, with players like Jonas Wind and Patrick Wimmer contributing crucial goals.
- Bayern Munich, despite their pedigree, have experienced some stumbles in recent matches. However, their attacking options, led by Harry Kane, remain formidable. Bayern’s recent losses have been surprising, but their ability to score goals, even in difficult matches, keeps them in contention as favorites.
Head-to-Head Records
- Last 10 Matches: Bayern Munich have won 9 of their last 10 meetings with Wolfsburg.
- Recent Encounters: Bayern won 2-0 in their most recent encounter, continuing their dominance. Wolfsburg’s last victory over Bayern in the Bundesliga dates back to 2015.
- Average Goals: The matches between these two teams have been high-scoring, averaging 3.5 goals per game.
Player Form and Availability
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Wolfsburg:
- Key Players: Jonas Wind and Patrick Wimmer are expected to lead the attack, with Jakub Kaminski providing support in midfield.
- Injuries: Kevin Paredes, David Odogu, Lukas Nmecha, Mohamed Amoura, and Rogerio are all sidelined, which could impact their defensive stability.
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Bayern Munich:
- Key Players: Harry Kane, who has been in exceptional form, will be pivotal, along with Serge Gnabry and Jamal Musiala.
- Injuries: Bayern have several players out, including Daniel Peretz, Josip Stanisic, and Hiroki Ito, which might affect their defensive options.
Predicted Lineups
Wolfsburg (3-4-2-1):
- GK: Kamil Grabara
- DEF: Maxence Lacroix, Sebastiaan Bornauw, Cedric Zesiger
- MID: Ridle Baku, Jakub Kaminski, Mattias Svanberg, Maximilian Arnold, Patrick Wimmer, Lovro Majer
- FWD: Jonas Wind
Bayern Munich (4-2-3-1):
- GK: Manuel Neuer
- DEF: Sacha Boey, Min-Jae Kim, Dayot Upamecano, Raphael Guerreiro
- MID: Joshua Kimmich, Aleksandar Pavlovic
- ATT: Serge Gnabry, Jamal Musiala, Mathys Tel
- FWD: Harry Kane
Market Analysis (Odds)
Win-Draw-Win Market
- Bayern Munich: 1.53 (4/9) – Implies a 65.4% chance of winning. Bayern’s historical dominance over Wolfsburg and their superior squad make them strong favorites despite their recent inconsistencies.
- Wolfsburg: 5.00 (4/1) – Implies a 20% chance of winning. Wolfsburg are underdogs, reflecting their struggle against top-tier teams like Bayern. However, they have the potential to upset, especially with home advantage.
- Draw: 4.75 (15/4) – Implies a 21.1% chance. A draw could be a realistic outcome if Wolfsburg manage to exploit Bayern’s defensive vulnerabilities, especially considering Bayern’s struggles in recent away games.
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) Market
- Yes: 1.57 (-175) – This outcome is favored, with both teams having found the net consistently in recent matches. Bayern’s defense has been shaky, and Wolfsburg’s home form suggests they could score.
- No: 2.30 (+130) – Less likely, but possible if Bayern manage to dominate possession and control the game, potentially shutting out Wolfsburg.
Over/Under 2.5 Goals Market
- Over 2.5 Goals: 1.50 (-200) – This is the favored bet, with recent head-to-head encounters and both teams’ form suggesting a high-scoring game.
- Under 2.5 Goals: 2.50 (+150) – Less likely given the attacking quality on display, but could be valuable if the match turns out to be more controlled than expected.
Correct Score Predictions
- Wolfsburg 1-3 Bayern Munich: 13.00 (+1200) – This scoreline reflects Bayern’s offensive strength and Wolfsburg’s potential to score but ultimately fall short.
- Wolfsburg 2-2 Bayern Munich: 14.00 (+1300) – A riskier bet, but one that offers value if Wolfsburg manage to hold Bayern to a draw in an open game.
Predictions
Given Bayern Munich’s historical dominance and their potent attack led by Harry Kane, they are expected to come out on top in this match. However, Wolfsburg’s ability to score at home suggests they could make it competitive.
Final Prediction: Bayern Munich 3-1 Wolfsburg