UEFA Nations League A
Game Preview: Spain vs Denmark
Spain will welcome Denmark to the Estadio de La Condomina for this keenly awaited UEFA Nations League match on October 12, 2024. La Roja went a formidable record in the last to months and out of their last 20 matches they won 17 of those matches and in their last match they beat Switzerland 4-1. Denmark who has recently outplayed Serbia will have a difficult test against Spain, which is a team that have always given the Danish side a hard time. As both teams will be fighting for the best positions in the Nations League group, the match will be quite bloody.
Key Stats & Insights
- Spain have won their last 9 out of 11 matches.
- Out of the last ten home matches they scored 2 or more goals in 8 matches.
- Denmark have failed in the last 10 away fixtures with only four wins out of ten games.
- Spain has had all the games against Denmark in the 21st century.
Team Form and Performance
Spain have tight attackers and very good competition in their recent matches and tight defense too. For the last 10 games the have been scoring 2.2 goals per game and have had 58.9% of ball possession. On the other hand, the performance of the Danish has fluctuated in the latest five games garnering five victories in the last ten games, but they have proved to be a weak team when playing under host team circumstances, at least they have conceded two and above goals in half of the games they have featured away from home.
Head-to-Head Records
Spain has been dominating in the recent previous matches with Denmark having stretched winning 9 out of the 11 matches played. Danish have failed to defeat La Roja in the last 5 encounters, and Spain have an average goal tally of 2.2 in the encounters against them. Denmark have not triumphed the recent four matches which were against Spain.
Player Form and Availability
Spain primary star in this tournament will be absent due to injuries including Dani Olmo, Rodri, and Nico Williams. But up-and-coming talent Lamine Yamal has been outstanding for the team and has scored four goals and created five chances for the other players in La Liga this season. For Denmark, Yussuf Poulsen and Robert Skov are spearheading the attack line while the defence line is down both Joachim Andersen and Rasmus Nicolaisen.
Predicted Lineups
Spain (4-3-3):** Raya; Porro, Laporte, Le Normand, Grimaldi; Pedri, Ruiz, Zubimendi; Yamal, Morata, Pino
Denmark (3-4-1-2):** Schmeichel: Kristensen, Vestergaard, Nelsson; Bah, Hojbjerg, Eriksen, Kristiansen; Poulsen, Hoejlund
Market Analysis (Odds)
Spain is the obvious favourite with the odd set at 1.35 which we convert to 74.1% chance of winning. Parma are the outsiders with the 7.50 chance, and a draw is listed at 4.80. The probabilities are in favour of 2.5 goal plus, and Spain is favoured to win by a two goal margin or more.
Predictions
- Correct score prediction: Spain 2-0 Denmark
- Betting tip: Spain will win and at the same time, with a -1.5 Asian handicap at +128
- Value bet:BTTS in play at +175 because Denmark scored in 11 out of their last 12 Nations League games.