Game Preview

Roma host Torino in this Thursday’s Serie A matchup, with both teams eager to secure a positive result amidst inconsistent recent form. Roma, reeling from a harsh 5-1 defeat to Fiorentina, will look to capitalize on home advantage to bounce back. However, Roma’s defense has been a notable concern, with recent matches highlighting weaknesses that opponents have exploited. This vulnerability may provide an opportunity for Torino, who come into the game with consistent scoring form. Torino, currently ninth in the league, recently managed a narrow 1-0 victory over Como but have struggled on the road, losing three of their last four Serie A outings. Historically, Roma hold a strong edge in head-to-head encounters, unbeaten in their last six matches against Torino.

Key Stats & Insights

  • BTTS: Both Teams to Score has been successful in 6 of Roma’s last 10 and in 4 of Torino’s last 5 games.
  • Over 2.5 Goals: Torino’s recent away games have averaged 4.00 goals per match.
  • Roma Home Record: Roma have won 3 of their last 5 home games.
  • Correct Score: Roma defeated Torino 3-2 in their last encounter.

Team Form and Performance

Roma, historically a consistent contender in Serie A, is facing significant challenges this season. Their recent run includes a crushing 5-1 defeat to Fiorentina, underscoring vulnerabilities in both defense and attack. With only 2 wins, 4 losses, and 4 draws in their last 10 games, Roma average a low 1.0 goals per game despite controlling an average 61.5% possession. These struggles have led to increasing tensions between the coach and players, sparking speculation about potential managerial changes. A poor result against Torino could intensify the pressure and possibly lead to a change in leadership.

Torino, on the other hand, have maintained a more stable trajectory. With 4 wins and 4 losses in their last 10 matches, Torino average 1.5 goals scored per game, showing consistency in finding the net across their last six outings. This steady offensive form could provide an edge against a Roma side searching for rhythm and stability in their play. However, Torino’s defense has been inconsistent, conceding an average of 1.7 goals, particularly struggling away from home. This match provides an opportunity for Torino to capitalize on Roma’s uncertainty and test their defensive organization.

Head-to-Head Records

Roma dominate the recent head-to-head stats, unbeaten in their last six encounters against Torino, with their last meeting ending in a 3-2 victory. Overall, Roma have won 28 of the 47 matchups historically, with Torino managing just 7 wins.

Player Form and Availability

  • Roma: Artem Dovbyk leads with 3 goals this season, while Paulo Dybala and Kouadio Kone also provide offensive support. Alexis Saelemaekers and Mario Hermoso will be unavailable due to injury and suspension, respectively.
  • Torino: Che Adams has been in form, contributing 3 goals. However, injuries have sidelined key players like Duvan Zapata and Ivan Ilic, impacting their attacking potential.

Predicted Lineups

  • Roma: Svilar (GK); Mancini, Ndicka, Angelino, Celik; Zalewski, Kone, Cristante; Dybala, Pellegrini; Dovbyk
  • Torino: Milinkovic-Savic (GK); Maripan, Masina, Coco; Lazaro, Linetty, Vlasic, Ricci, Vojvoda; Sanabria, Adams

Market Analysis (Odds)

Roma are favorites at odds of 1.70 (-143), with an implied win probability of 59%. Torino stand as underdogs at 4.75 (+425), with a probability of just under 22%. The Both Teams to Score market is evenly split, while Over 2.5 Goals is similarly balanced, given both teams’ recent scoring trends.

Predictions

  • Correct Score: Roma 3-2 Torino
  • Betting Tips: Both Teams to Score – Yes @ -110; Over 2.5 Goals
  • Value Bet: Combining BTTS and Over 2.5 Goals offers a potential boost in returns, especially considering Torino’s recent goal-heavy away games.