Real Madrid Vs Barcelona : Match Preview, Best Bets And Prediction
One match everyone has been waiting for is the El Clásico to be played at the Santiago Bernabéu stadium on 26th October 2024, when Real Madrid take on their bitter rivals Barcelona. This traditional derby match, full of history and contrasting emotions, may well come down to this title chasing rivals both occupying the top part of the standings table.
Real Madrid has signed some of the top talents in football such as Kylian Mbappé, the royal club has not only been below par this season, but parts could be attributed to tactical changes and missing star players. On the other hand, Barcelona are on the rise, a new man at the helm in the form of Hansi Flick that has brought on a high-pressing team that is currently doing wonders for them.
Key Stats & Insights
Real Madrid have recorded 7 out of the last 10 clashes against Barcelona – and the last three in a row. Real Madrid has played with a non-defeat record in forty two consecutive La Liga games and has produced five consecutive home wins. Barcelona team has only lost 1, outta the 10 matches this season in La Liga, and they have scored the highest goals of 33. The tactical problems notwithstanding, the Real Madrid team still score an average of 2.1 goals for every match in the last 10 of their matches.
Team Form and Performance
Real Madrid come into the match with the backdrop from their performances in the Champions League especially after their 5-2 bet of Borussia Dortmund but have been struggling in La Liga. Loss of some players has caused breakdown of continuity on how they approach the midfield for instance, Jude Bellingham, was moved to a defensive role which reduces his goal threat. Moreover, while both Mbappé and Vinícius Junior’s output is abundantly clear, their methods are similar, which has led to problematic overusages of positions in the field that disrupted overall team dynamics.
While on the other hand, Barcelona are in sensational form they have just defeated Bayern Munich by 4-1. Robert Lewandowski and Raphinha have been incredible thus the reason they have been making key contributions to the team this season. Pedri has been doing Amazing especially in the midsection of the field providing that creativity that Barcelona has lacked in many seasons. Since the appointment of Hansi Flick, Barcelona have become better defensively, organized and tactical both when pressing with three lines and when playing with a high press at the back.
Head-to-Head Records
Recall that in recent years Real Madrid have been more successful in El Clásico having won 4 out of 6 last games. Their last league match in April 3-2 victory for Madrid : Jude Bellingham scored the final goal. In the past, Madrid have been able to overcome Barcelona in the confrontations and, therefore, won the competition with 105 victories to Barcelona’s 100.
Player Form and Availability
- Real Madrid: Vinícius Junior is in superb shape these days, he scored 5 goals in the last 3 appearances. Kylian Mbappé tops their groups in scoring, however, the potential missing players Toni Kroos, Rodrygo, David Alaba etc may affect scores.
- Barcelona: Robert Lewandowski is prolific as he currently moved up to tally 12 goals this season; Raphinha with 9 goals in all competitions.
Predicted Lineups
- Real Madrid (4-4-2): Lunin; Vazquez, Militao, Rudiger, Mendy; Toni Kroos, Modric, Valverde, Tchouameni, Bellingham; Mbappe, Vinicius.
- Barcelona (4-2-3-1): Pena; Kounde, Cubarsi, Martinez, Balde; Casado, Pedri; Raphinha, Lopez, Yamal; Lewandowski.
Market Analysis (Odds)
Real Madrid are just the favorite at 2.05 (-111) and they are forecasted to win just 48.8% of the time. Barcelona are favourites and they are offered at 3.25 (+250), with the teams sharing the spoils at ** 3.75 (11/4). Over 2.5 Goals is particularly well favoured at 1.60 (-167) while Both Teams To Score (BTTS) has attracted significant attention at 1.50 (-200).
Predictions
- Correct Score: Copa Del Rey, Real Madrid vs Barcelona, Real Madrid to Win 2-1 @ 8.00 (+800).
- Betting Tip: Hto Win: Real Madrid @ 2.05 (-100) – Real Madrid cannot seem to get the win on the road lately but they are solid at home and against this opponent.
- Value Bet: Both teams have shown an ability to score goals and with this in mind then a match with over 3.5 goals should be expected at 2.10 (+110) odds.
Conclusion
Although Barcelona have progressed tactically and have gained more outputs with depth of their forward line under Hansi Flick, Real Madrid remain stronger on the overall and dominate in losasso. Although Real Madrid has made some tactical changes lately and failed in buildup and chance creation they should edge a close match in El Clásicos and recent form.