UEFA Nations League A

Game Preview

The German Football team is set to gift the fans with a UEFA Nations League clash against the Netherlands. The match will be very interesting mainly because both clubs experienced both victories and defeats in their last games. Germany will draw confidence from their recent 2-1 victory against Bosnia & Herzegovina in which Deniz Undav hit two goals. At the same time, Netherlands are tied with Hungary II at 1-1, the late goal of Denzel Dumfries. The last match between these two sides was tied 2-2 so by all indications, we could be in for another entertaining match with a lot of goals.

Key Stats & Insights

Germany are current on a string of 7 international home matches without a loss and have achieved minimum of 2 goals in 8 of the last 10 home games. Nations League: Both Teams to Score (BTTS) has hit 12 of Netherlands last 14 games. Such encounters between these teams have for the past confirmed to be vibrant affairs with six from the last seven matches delivering over 2.5 goals.

Team Form and Performance

Germany have been in good shape, especially in last 10 official matches, the record is 6-1-3. Backend led by Niclas Fullkrug and Kai Havertz has been fierce, scoring on average 2.5 goals per a game. The teamwork is supported by the defense line with Manuel Neuer and Marc-André ter Stegen; The team has gone to an average of only one goal conceded per match.

Germany just eliminated have recorded four victories, three defeats and three draws in the last 10 games while Netherlands have been performing less record in five wins, two loses and three draws. While Cody Gakpo has stood out as the most effective player through scoring five goals, they average a 1.2 goal concession rate. Defensive problems may be heightened due to Virgil van Dijk’s absence because of suspension.

Head-to-Head Records

Germany have had the upper hand of the two in their recent meetings having won two out of the four latest matches against the Netherlands. However, the last game draw 2-2, and these are usually very much goal-shooting games most of the time. Looking at there last six encounters an average of 4 goals game has been set.

Player Form and Availability

Germany is likely to be pinning much hope on Deniz Undav, who got on the scores sheet two times in the last game and is currently on a hot streak. But they will be without such talents as Jamal Musiala and Niclas Fullkrug because of injuries. Another potential concern is Germany’s goalkeeper situation: without Manuel Neuer who is out of the team, the team’s goal keeping may not be so strong hence they may not be in a position to help their team get a clean sheet. Alexander Nuebel is expected to start but this shift may generate some frailties on the defensive line. For Netherlands they will be missing Van Dijk through suspension and other key players such Frenkie De Jong that was injured and unavailable to play hence Ronald Koeman is expected relied so much on Gakpo and Dumfries.

Predicted Lineups

  • Germany: Alexander Nuebel; Joshua Kimmich, Antonio Rudiger, Jonathan Tah, Maximilian Mittelstaedt; Robert Andrich, Pascal Gross; Serge Gnabry, Deniz Undav, Florian Wirtz Tim Kleindienst.
  • Netherlands: Bart Verbruggen; Denzel Dumfries, Stefan de Vrij, Matthijs de Ligt, Micky van de Ven; Ryan Gravenberch, Quinten Timber, Xavi Simons; Tijjani Reijnders, Cody Gakpo, Joshua Zirkzee.

Market Analysis (Odds)

Germany are installed as prohibitive favourites at -139 (1.80), suggesting that there is a 58% consensus the matricullation will occur. The Netherlands are listed at +/- 330 (4.33) while the draw is at +/- 270 (3.70). Betting markets indicate an average of over 2.5 goals per-match, which option goes for -200.

Predictions

  • Correct Score Prediction: Germany 3-2 Netherlands. The attacking form of both teams coupled with some of the missing there defensive players will see the goals flying.
  • Betting Tips:
    • Germany to Win @ -139 BTTS (Both Teams to Score) – This market usually has a site odds of -200. High goal matches have been witnessed in recent past and therefore the Over 3.5 Goals has value.

Value Bets

For those who want to get more profits BA will recommend to take -1 Asian Handicap for Germany, because the team plays very well at home.